Rafael Jódar, the 12th-seeded 19-year-old Spaniard ranked around No. 13, enters the US Open first-round matchup on hard courts with strong recent hard-court momentum after a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and Cincinnati fourth-round run, despite a loss to Flavio Cobolli. The rapid riser has compiled a 49-15 record this season across surfaces. Thanasi Kokkinakis, a 30-year-old Australian ranked No. 417 and relying on a protected ranking, brings limited 2026 wins, ongoing injury concerns, and just two tour-level victories amid inconsistent results. With no prior head-to-head and Jódar’s superior ranking, serve return, and current form, trader consensus reflects a heavy favorite edge for the Spaniard in his main-draw Grand Slam debut at Flushing Meadows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Combos
Moneyline
$35.3K Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Combos
Moneyline
$35.3K Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jódar, the 12th-seeded 19-year-old Spaniard ranked around No. 13, enters the US Open first-round matchup on hard courts with strong recent hard-court momentum after a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and Cincinnati fourth-round run, despite a loss to Flavio Cobolli. The rapid riser has compiled a 49-15 record this season across surfaces. Thanasi Kokkinakis, a 30-year-old Australian ranked No. 417 and relying on a protected ranking, brings limited 2026 wins, ongoing injury concerns, and just two tour-level victories amid inconsistent results. With no prior head-to-head and Jódar’s superior ranking, serve return, and current form, trader consensus reflects a heavy favorite edge for the Spaniard in his main-draw Grand Slam debut at Flushing Meadows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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