Scottie Scheffler's status as defending champion and overwhelming FedExCup leader shapes trader views on BMW Championship top-20 outcomes at Bellerive Country Club. The world No. 1 enters the final round with a massive points cushion after an eight-shot victory the prior week and consistent recent scoring, making him the consensus favorite to finish inside the top 20 while others chase positioning. Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Justin Thomas remain relevant after solid opening rounds, though McIlroy seeks a rebound from Memphis. With the top-30 cutoff for the Tour Championship at stake and only one round remaining, recent form, course management on the par-70 layout, and final-day momentum will determine which players secure top-20 finishes amid the 50-man field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$242 Vol.
Ryan Gerard
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Rory McIlroy
51%
Maverick McNealy
100%
Patrick Cantlay
100%
Gary Woodland
100%
Cameron Young
100%
Michael Brennan
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Eric Cole
100%
Ryo Hisatsune
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Adam Scott
100%
Alex Smalley
100%
J.J. Spaun
100%
Justin Thomas
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Collin Morikawa
76%
Hideki Matsuyama
59%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Sahith Theegala
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
48%
Kristoffer Reitan
44%
Ben Griffin
42%
Tommy Fleetwood
42%
Robert MacIntyre
42%
Sam Burns
41%
Rickie Fowler
41%
Justin Rose
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Ryan Fox
40%
Alex Fitzpatrick
40%
Jake Knapp
39%
JT Poston
39%
Alexander Noren
37%
Aaron Rai
34%
Akshay Bhatia
29%
Michael Thorbjornsen
25%
Matt McCarty
24%
Bud Cauley
21%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Nicolai Hojgaard
17%
Tom Kim
12%
Keith Mitchell
10%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Sepp Straka
41%
Scottie Scheffler
-
$242 Vol.
Ryan Gerard
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Rory McIlroy
51%
Maverick McNealy
100%
Patrick Cantlay
100%
Gary Woodland
100%
Cameron Young
100%
Michael Brennan
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Eric Cole
100%
Ryo Hisatsune
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Adam Scott
100%
Alex Smalley
100%
J.J. Spaun
100%
Justin Thomas
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Collin Morikawa
76%
Hideki Matsuyama
59%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Sahith Theegala
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
48%
Kristoffer Reitan
44%
Ben Griffin
42%
Tommy Fleetwood
42%
Robert MacIntyre
42%
Sam Burns
41%
Rickie Fowler
41%
Justin Rose
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Ryan Fox
40%
Alex Fitzpatrick
40%
Jake Knapp
39%
JT Poston
39%
Alexander Noren
37%
Aaron Rai
34%
Akshay Bhatia
29%
Michael Thorbjornsen
25%
Matt McCarty
24%
Bud Cauley
21%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Nicolai Hojgaard
17%
Tom Kim
12%
Keith Mitchell
10%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Sepp Straka
41%
Scottie Scheffler
-
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Scottie Scheffler's status as defending champion and overwhelming FedExCup leader shapes trader views on BMW Championship top-20 outcomes at Bellerive Country Club. The world No. 1 enters the final round with a massive points cushion after an eight-shot victory the prior week and consistent recent scoring, making him the consensus favorite to finish inside the top 20 while others chase positioning. Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Justin Thomas remain relevant after solid opening rounds, though McIlroy seeks a rebound from Memphis. With the top-30 cutoff for the Tour Championship at stake and only one round remaining, recent form, course management on the par-70 layout, and final-day momentum will determine which players secure top-20 finishes amid the 50-man field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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