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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Politics·French Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Politics·French Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

Édouard Philippe 58%

Both 19%

Gabriel Attal 10.5%

Neither 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Édouard Philippe 58%

Both 19%

Gabriel Attal 10.5%

Neither 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,191 Vol.

58%

icon for Both

Both

$929 Vol.

19%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$399 Vol.

11%

icon for Neither

Neither

$300 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2027 French presidential race within the centrist bloc due to his stronger polling track record as the sole representative of that space, broader appeal among center-right voters, and established positioning against far-right and left-wing challengers. Recent August 2026 surveys show him narrowing or tying with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at around 17% in first-round hypotheticals while Gabriel Attal trails slightly at 14-15%, with the gap between the two former prime ministers shrinking to statistical margins. Attal has intensified campaigning, advocated for an internal primary or extended debate, and highlighted policy divergences on issues like education and pensions during the late-August MEDEF forum, yet Philippe continues to benefit from perceptions of greater viability in potential runoffs against Rassemblement National candidates. The split in the fragmented centrist field risks diluting support for both, amplifying uncertainty ahead of any consolidation timeline.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,820
End Date
Apr 18, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2027 French presidential race within the centrist bloc due to his stronger polling track record as the sole representative of that space, broader appeal among center-right voters, and established positioning against far-right and left-wing challengers. Recent August 2026 surveys show him narrowing or tying with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at around 17% in first-round hypotheticals while Gabriel Attal trails slightly at 14-15%, with the gap between the two former prime ministers shrinking to statistical margins. Attal has intensified campaigning, advocated for an internal primary or extended debate, and highlighted policy divergences on issues like education and pensions during the late-August MEDEF forum, yet Philippe continues to benefit from perceptions of greater viability in potential runoffs against Rassemblement National candidates. The split in the fragmented centrist field risks diluting support for both, amplifying uncertainty ahead of any consolidation timeline.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,820
End Date
Apr 18, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 58%, followed by "Both" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe" is "Édouard Philippe" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Both" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.