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Sports·Soccer

2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up

icon for 2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up
Sports·Soccer

2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up

1. FC Nürnberg 38%

Hertha BSC 38%

Arminia Bielefeld 38%

VfL Bochum 38%

Polymarket
NEW

1. FC Nürnberg 38%

Hertha BSC 38%

Arminia Bielefeld 38%

VfL Bochum 38%

Polymarket
NEW

1. FC Nürnberg

$0 Vol.

38%

Hertha BSC

$0 Vol.

38%

Arminia Bielefeld

$0 Vol.

38%

VfL Bochum

$0 Vol.

38%

Eintracht Braunschweig

$0 Vol.

38%

FC Energie Cottbus

$0 Vol.

38%

SV Darmstadt 98

$0 Vol.

38%

Dynamo Dresden

$0 Vol.

38%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

$0 Vol.

38%

Hannover 96

$0 Vol.

38%

1. FC Heidenheim

$0 Vol.

38%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

$0 Vol.

38%

Karlsruher SC

$0 Vol.

38%

Holstein Kiel

$0 Vol.

38%

1. FC Magdeburg

$0 Vol.

38%

VfL Osnabrück

$0 Vol.

38%

FC St. Pauli

$0 Vol.

38%

VfL Wolfsburg

$0 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering around 37–38% implied probabilities for runner-up in the 2026-27 2. Bundesliga reflects an unusually open promotion race early in the campaign, with no single team separating itself for the second automatic spot. VfL Wolfsburg entered as the standout favorite following Bundesliga relegation, bolstered by the highest squad value and pre-season expectations, which has concentrated market focus on the battle behind them. Hannover 96, Hertha BSC, 1. FC Heidenheim, FC St. Pauli, and 1. FC Nürnberg bring strong recent form, transfer activity, and experience at higher levels, while clubs such as Karlsruher SC, Holstein Kiel, and 1. FC Magdeburg add depth to the contender group. After the opening matchdays, results have remained mixed with narrow points gaps at the top, preserving broad trader consensus that multiple outcomes remain viable through the long season.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering around 37–38% implied probabilities for runner-up in the 2026-27 2. Bundesliga reflects an unusually open promotion race early in the campaign, with no single team separating itself for the second automatic spot. VfL Wolfsburg entered as the standout favorite following Bundesliga relegation, bolstered by the highest squad value and pre-season expectations, which has concentrated market focus on the battle behind them. Hannover 96, Hertha BSC, 1. FC Heidenheim, FC St. Pauli, and 1. FC Nürnberg bring strong recent form, transfer activity, and experience at higher levels, while clubs such as Karlsruher SC, Holstein Kiel, and 1. FC Magdeburg add depth to the contender group. After the opening matchdays, results have remained mixed with narrow points gaps at the top, preserving broad trader consensus that multiple outcomes remain viable through the long season.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of 2. Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of 2. Bundesliga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the 2. Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1. FC Nürnberg" at 38%, followed by "Hertha BSC" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up" is "1. FC Nürnberg" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hertha BSC" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2. Bundesliga: 2026-27 Runner-Up" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.