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Sports·Chess

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner

icon for 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
Sports·Chess

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner

India 28%

United States of America 26%

Uzbekistan 23%

China 7%

Polymarket
NEW

India 28%

United States of America 26%

Uzbekistan 23%

China 7%

Polymarket
NEW

India

$396 Vol.

28%

United States of America

$551 Vol.

26%

Uzbekistan

$428 Vol.

23%

China

$806 Vol.

7%

Germany

$212 Vol.

4%

Armenia

$162 Vol.

4%

Azerbaijan

$286 Vol.

4%

Ukraine

$36 Vol.

4%

England

$36 Vol.

3%

Netherlands

$236 Vol.

3%

Hungary

$36 Vol.

3%

Spain

$150 Vol.

3%

Georgia

$36 Vol.

3%

Poland

$36 Vol.

3%

Bulgaria

$587 Vol.

1%

France

$139 Vol.

1%

Turkmenistan

$198 Vol.

1%

Vietnam

$26 Vol.

1%

Norway

$131 Vol.

<1%

Sweden

$180 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$133 Vol.

<1%

Turkiye

$26 Vol.

<1%

Argentina

$61 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$61 Vol.

<1%

Brazil

$61 Vol.

<1%

Canada

$61 Vol.

<1%

Chile

$61 Vol.

<1%

Colombia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Croatia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Czech Republic

$61 Vol.

<1%

Egypt

$61 Vol.

<1%

Greece

$61 Vol.

<1%

Iran

$194 Vol.

<1%

Kazakhstan

$61 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$61 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$61 Vol.

<1%

Moldova

$61 Vol.

<1%

Mexico

$61 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$61 Vol.

<1%

Slovenia

$61 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around India, the United States, and Uzbekistan stems from recently confirmed lineups that place these squads within a narrow band on average rating, with the U.S. topping the Open section seeding ahead of defending champions India and host nation Uzbekistan. The American roster, despite Nakamura’s absence, fields multiple 2700+ players including Niemann and Liang for their Olympiad debuts, while India relies on Gukesh, Praggnanandhaa, and Erigaisi to defend their title. Uzbekistan gains home-soil momentum in Samarkand, and the overall depth of the field—coupled with 11 classical rounds starting September 16—keeps outcomes highly sensitive to individual board results and tiebreak scenarios. Lower-seeded teams like China trail by larger rating gaps, reinforcing the three-way battle at the top.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,051
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around India, the United States, and Uzbekistan stems from recently confirmed lineups that place these squads within a narrow band on average rating, with the U.S. topping the Open section seeding ahead of defending champions India and host nation Uzbekistan. The American roster, despite Nakamura’s absence, fields multiple 2700+ players including Niemann and Liang for their Olympiad debuts, while India relies on Gukesh, Praggnanandhaa, and Erigaisi to defend their title. Uzbekistan gains home-soil momentum in Samarkand, and the overall depth of the field—coupled with 11 classical rounds starting September 16—keeps outcomes highly sensitive to individual board results and tiebreak scenarios. Lower-seeded teams like China trail by larger rating gaps, reinforcing the three-way battle at the top.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,051
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "India" at 28%, followed by "United States of America" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is "India" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "United States of America" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.