Bank of Israel policymakers face a September 1 decision amid inflation at 1.5% in July that Governor Amir Yaron expects to rebound toward the 2% target midpoint, alongside robust second-quarter GDP growth of 15.4% annualized and a resilient labor market. Recent comments from Yaron framed the meeting as “live,” citing elevated uncertainty from geopolitical developments, fiscal pressures, and incoming data on prices and activity. Markets have already priced two prior cuts to the current 3.5% rate, yet the near-term inflation trajectory and policy caution have elevated the likelihood of holding steady. Research forecasts still point to gradual easing later, but trader consensus reflects limited scope for an immediate reduction or any hike given the data flow and risk environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 86%
Decrease 14%
Increase <1%
$64,164 Vol.
$64,164 Vol.
Decrease
14%
No Change
86%
Increase
1%
No Change 86%
Decrease 14%
Increase <1%
$64,164 Vol.
$64,164 Vol.
Decrease
14%
No Change
86%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Israel policymakers face a September 1 decision amid inflation at 1.5% in July that Governor Amir Yaron expects to rebound toward the 2% target midpoint, alongside robust second-quarter GDP growth of 15.4% annualized and a resilient labor market. Recent comments from Yaron framed the meeting as “live,” citing elevated uncertainty from geopolitical developments, fiscal pressures, and incoming data on prices and activity. Markets have already priced two prior cuts to the current 3.5% rate, yet the near-term inflation trajectory and policy caution have elevated the likelihood of holding steady. Research forecasts still point to gradual easing later, but trader consensus reflects limited scope for an immediate reduction or any hike given the data flow and risk environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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