The Bank of Israel’s current 3.50% policy rate, set after the July 2026 cut, underpins the 88% market-implied probability of no change on September 1. Inflation has eased to 1.5% year-over-year, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range, while one-year expectations hover near 1.5%. A strong shekel, lower energy prices following the Iran-related ceasefire, and rebounding GDP growth forecasts around 4% for 2026 have reduced immediate pressure for further easing after two consecutive reductions. Traders assign only a 13% chance of a decrease, reflecting limited room for another 25-basis-point move absent softer incoming CPI or labor data, with any hike remaining negligible given stable price pressures and the central bank’s cautious forward guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 88%
Decrease 13%
Increase <1%
$64,417 Vol.
$64,417 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Decrease
13%
No Change
88%
Increase
<1%
No Change 88%
Decrease 13%
Increase <1%
$64,417 Vol.
$64,417 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Decrease
$22,476 Vol.
13%
No Change
$34,495 Vol.
88%
Increase
$7,447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Israel’s current 3.50% policy rate, set after the July 2026 cut, underpins the 88% market-implied probability of no change on September 1. Inflation has eased to 1.5% year-over-year, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range, while one-year expectations hover near 1.5%. A strong shekel, lower energy prices following the Iran-related ceasefire, and rebounding GDP growth forecasts around 4% for 2026 have reduced immediate pressure for further easing after two consecutive reductions. Traders assign only a 13% chance of a decrease, reflecting limited room for another 25-basis-point move absent softer incoming CPI or labor data, with any hike remaining negligible given stable price pressures and the central bank’s cautious forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$64,417End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Israel’s current 3.50% policy rate, set after the July 2026 cut, underpins the 88% market-implied probability of no change on September 1. Inflation has eased to 1.5% year-over-year, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range, while one-year expectations hover near 1.5%. A strong shekel, lower energy prices following the Iran-related ceasefire, and rebounding GDP growth forecasts around 4% for 2026 have reduced immediate pressure for further easing after two consecutive reductions. Traders assign only a 13% chance of a decrease, reflecting limited room for another 25-basis-point move absent softer incoming CPI or labor data, with any hike remaining negligible given stable price pressures and the central bank’s cautious forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$64,417End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s current 3.50% policy rate, set after the July 2026 cut, underpins the 88% market-implied probability of no change on September 1. Inflation has eased to 1.5% year-over-year, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range, while one-year expectations hover near 1.5%. A strong shekel, lower energy prices following the Iran-related ceasefire, and rebounding GDP growth forecasts around 4% for 2026 have reduced immediate pressure for further easing after two consecutive reductions. Traders assign only a 13% chance of a decrease, reflecting limited room for another 25-basis-point move absent softer incoming CPI or labor data, with any hike remaining negligible given stable price pressures and the central bank’s cautious forward guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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