SC Paderborn 07’s dominant 97.4% implied probability stems primarily from the vast gulf in squad quality and professional status against fourth-tier Regionalliga side 1. FC Phönix Lübeck in this DFB-Pokal first-round tie. The newly promoted Bundesliga club fields a far deeper roster with significantly higher market value, recent promotion momentum, and experience at higher levels, even with multiple injuries sidelining players such as Timur Gayret, Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant, and others. Phönix has shown solid recent form and home resilience in lower-league play, including a derby victory, yet the step up in competition creates formidable barriers. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and include widespread Paderborn absences or an exceptional underdog display, though the wisdom of crowds in current pricing underscores the expected professional advantage.
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1. FC Phönix Lübeck – SC Paderborn 07
Moneyline
Reg Time$25.3K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$4.5K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$12.1K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$116 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$506 Vol.
1. FC Phönix Lübeck Totals
Reg Time$2.2K Vol.
SC Paderborn 07 Totals
Reg Time$2.1K Vol.
If 1. FC Phönix Lübeck wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.dfb.de/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...1. FC Phönix Lübeck – SC Paderborn 07
Moneyline
Reg Time$25.3K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$4.5K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$12.1K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$116 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$506 Vol.
1. FC Phönix Lübeck Totals
Reg Time$2.2K Vol.
SC Paderborn 07 Totals
Reg Time$2.1K Vol.
If 1. FC Phönix Lübeck wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.dfb.de/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SC Paderborn 07’s dominant 97.4% implied probability stems primarily from the vast gulf in squad quality and professional status against fourth-tier Regionalliga side 1. FC Phönix Lübeck in this DFB-Pokal first-round tie. The newly promoted Bundesliga club fields a far deeper roster with significantly higher market value, recent promotion momentum, and experience at higher levels, even with multiple injuries sidelining players such as Timur Gayret, Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant, and others. Phönix has shown solid recent form and home resilience in lower-league play, including a derby victory, yet the step up in competition creates formidable barriers. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and include widespread Paderborn absences or an exceptional underdog display, though the wisdom of crowds in current pricing underscores the expected professional advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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