Bolton Wanderers' confirmed 2-1 League One victory at Plymouth Argyle's Home Park on Good Friday has driven trader consensus to a dominant 99.5% implied probability, reflecting Johnny Kenny's first-half penalty and Malachi Boateng's own goal despite a second-half red card to John McAtee reducing Bolton to 10 men. Promotion-chasing Bolton, sitting third in the table, overcame play-off hopefuls Plymouth—ninth and unbeaten in nine prior matches—snapping Argyle's six-game home winning streak against them. Pre-match injury returns like top scorer Lorent Tolaj for Plymouth failed to shift momentum. Market pricing anticipates swift official EFL resolution, with reversal scenarios limited to rare administrative errors or successful appeals.
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Plymouth Argyle FC – Bolton Wanderers FC
Moneyline
Reg Time$787 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$123 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$2.6K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$43 Vol.
If Bolton Wanderers FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Plymouth Argyle FC – Bolton Wanderers FC
Moneyline
Reg Time$787 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$123 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$2.6K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$43 Vol.
If Bolton Wanderers FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bolton Wanderers' confirmed 2-1 League One victory at Plymouth Argyle's Home Park on Good Friday has driven trader consensus to a dominant 99.5% implied probability, reflecting Johnny Kenny's first-half penalty and Malachi Boateng's own goal despite a second-half red card to John McAtee reducing Bolton to 10 men. Promotion-chasing Bolton, sitting third in the table, overcame play-off hopefuls Plymouth—ninth and unbeaten in nine prior matches—snapping Argyle's six-game home winning streak against them. Pre-match injury returns like top scorer Lorent Tolaj for Plymouth failed to shift momentum. Market pricing anticipates swift official EFL resolution, with reversal scenarios limited to rare administrative errors or successful appeals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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