The wide-open field of 12 finalists for Esports Personality of the Year at the 2026 Esports Awards in Miami has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities, with Thug, Gotaga, Caedrel, and several others clustered near even money in trader pricing. Finalist announcements in early August highlighted established names from League of Legends, Valorant, Rainbow Six Siege, Counter-Strike, and chess alongside prominent streamers, creating distinct fanbases that vote daily through November 10 without any candidate generating decisive momentum. Thug’s prior win adds continuity for one bloc, while cross-community appeal and the public-vote format keep outcomes fluid heading into the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThug 51%
Magnus Carlsen 7.0%
Gotaga 4.5%
Jynxzi 3.7%
$28,531 Vol.
$28,531 Vol.
Thug
51%
Magnus Carlsen
24%
Gotaga
5%
Jynxzi
4%
Shotzzy
2%
Clix
2%
Kameto
6%
Faker
1%
Ibai
1%
Caedrel
8%
Sjokz
<1%
Boaster
15%
Thug 51%
Magnus Carlsen 7.0%
Gotaga 4.5%
Jynxzi 3.7%
$28,531 Vol.
$28,531 Vol.
Thug
51%
Magnus Carlsen
24%
Gotaga
5%
Jynxzi
4%
Shotzzy
2%
Clix
2%
Kameto
6%
Faker
1%
Ibai
1%
Caedrel
8%
Sjokz
<1%
Boaster
15%
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple people are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Esports Awards (esportsawards.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple people are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Esports Awards (esportsawards.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open field of 12 finalists for Esports Personality of the Year at the 2026 Esports Awards in Miami has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities, with Thug, Gotaga, Caedrel, and several others clustered near even money in trader pricing. Finalist announcements in early August highlighted established names from League of Legends, Valorant, Rainbow Six Siege, Counter-Strike, and chess alongside prominent streamers, creating distinct fanbases that vote daily through November 10 without any candidate generating decisive momentum. Thug’s prior win adds continuity for one bloc, while cross-community appeal and the public-vote format keep outcomes fluid heading into the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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