Lacy and Marlon launched their 24/7 gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft on a single stream without resets. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 100-199 and sub-100 buckets because Lacy’s FNCS-level Fortnite pedigree and Marlon’s duo synergy suggest efficient clears, yet extended ranked sessions, stream snipers, fatigue, and potential restarts introduce variability in the in-game death counter tracked on Lacy’s Twitch broadcast. Early progress—securing a Victory Royale after roughly five hours and low-to-mid double-digit deaths—has kept implied probabilities competitive, with crowd wisdom reflecting uncertainty over whether the Fortnite segment stays under 100 or pushes into higher ranges before they advance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-199 33%
<100 26%
200-299 18.3%
300-399 8.2%
NEW
$22,240 Vol.
NEW
$22,240 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<100
26%
100-199
33%
200-299
18%
300-399
8%
400-499
3%
500-599
3%
600-699
2%
700-799
3%
800-899
3%
900-999
2%
1000+
1%
100-199 33%
<100 26%
200-299 18.3%
300-399 8.2%
NEW
$22,240 Vol.
NEW
$22,240 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<100
$5,708 Vol.
26%
100-199
$4,260 Vol.
33%
200-299
$5,507 Vol.
18%
300-399
$989 Vol.
8%
400-499
$772 Vol.
3%
500-599
$793 Vol.
3%
600-699
$873 Vol.
2%
700-799
$773 Vol.
3%
800-899
$879 Vol.
3%
900-999
$873 Vol.
2%
1000+
$811 Vol.
1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their 24/7 gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft on a single stream without resets. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 100-199 and sub-100 buckets because Lacy’s FNCS-level Fortnite pedigree and Marlon’s duo synergy suggest efficient clears, yet extended ranked sessions, stream snipers, fatigue, and potential restarts introduce variability in the in-game death counter tracked on Lacy’s Twitch broadcast. Early progress—securing a Victory Royale after roughly five hours and low-to-mid double-digit deaths—has kept implied probabilities competitive, with crowd wisdom reflecting uncertainty over whether the Fortnite segment stays under 100 or pushes into higher ranges before they advance.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$22,240End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their 24/7 gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft on a single stream without resets. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 100-199 and sub-100 buckets because Lacy’s FNCS-level Fortnite pedigree and Marlon’s duo synergy suggest efficient clears, yet extended ranked sessions, stream snipers, fatigue, and potential restarts introduce variability in the in-game death counter tracked on Lacy’s Twitch broadcast. Early progress—securing a Victory Royale after roughly five hours and low-to-mid double-digit deaths—has kept implied probabilities competitive, with crowd wisdom reflecting uncertainty over whether the Fortnite segment stays under 100 or pushes into higher ranges before they advance.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volume
$22,240End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their 24/7 gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft on a single stream without resets. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 100-199 and sub-100 buckets because Lacy’s FNCS-level Fortnite pedigree and Marlon’s duo synergy suggest efficient clears, yet extended ranked sessions, stream snipers, fatigue, and potential restarts introduce variability in the in-game death counter tracked on Lacy’s Twitch broadcast. Early progress—securing a Victory Royale after roughly five hours and low-to-mid double-digit deaths—has kept implied probabilities competitive, with crowd wisdom reflecting uncertainty over whether the Fortnite segment stays under 100 or pushes into higher ranges before they advance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions