Pete Crow-Armstrong's midseason offensive surge, including a 7.8-8.1 WAR pace, .281 average, 33 home runs, .938 OPS, and 32 stolen bases for the Cubs, has driven his rapid rise to 47.3% implied probability in the NL Hank Aaron market. Shohei Ohtani holds second at 28.5% on the strength of consistent Dodgers production around a .294 average and 30 home runs with elite wRC+. Kyle Schwarber sits at 13.3% amid sustained extra-base power for the Phillies. With roughly six weeks remaining, trader consensus centers on these hitting impacts and recent form shifts while acknowledging variability in final award criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Pete Crow-Armstrong 47.1%
Shohei Ohtani 29%
Kyle Schwarber 13.5%
Juan Soto 3.4%
$154,897 Vol.
$154,897 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
47%
Shohei Ohtani
29%
Kyle Schwarber
13%
Juan Soto
3%
Bryce Harper
3%
Francisco Lindor
1%
Ketel Marte
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 47.1%
Shohei Ohtani 29%
Kyle Schwarber 13.5%
Juan Soto 3.4%
$154,897 Vol.
$154,897 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
47%
Shohei Ohtani
29%
Kyle Schwarber
13%
Juan Soto
3%
Bryce Harper
3%
Francisco Lindor
1%
Ketel Marte
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pete Crow-Armstrong's midseason offensive surge, including a 7.8-8.1 WAR pace, .281 average, 33 home runs, .938 OPS, and 32 stolen bases for the Cubs, has driven his rapid rise to 47.3% implied probability in the NL Hank Aaron market. Shohei Ohtani holds second at 28.5% on the strength of consistent Dodgers production around a .294 average and 30 home runs with elite wRC+. Kyle Schwarber sits at 13.3% amid sustained extra-base power for the Phillies. With roughly six weeks remaining, trader consensus centers on these hitting impacts and recent form shifts while acknowledging variability in final award criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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