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icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS
Sports·MLB

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS
Sports·MLB

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

NEW
Oct 5, 2026
Polymarket

$276 Vol.

Polymarket

Tampa Bay Rays

$0 Vol.

75%

Chicago White Sox

$0 Vol.

70%

New York Yankees

$0 Vol.

67%

Houston Astros

$0 Vol.

53%

Boston Red Sox

$0 Vol.

50%

Cleveland Guardians

$0 Vol.

28%

Toronto Blue Jays

$0 Vol.

26%

Texas Rangers

$0 Vol.

21%

Baltimore Orioles

$0 Vol.

15%

Minnesota Twins

$0 Vol.

15%

Seattle Mariners

$0 Vol.

15%

Detroit Tigers

$0 Vol.

11%

Kansas City Royals

$80 Vol.

8%

Los Angeles Angels

$98 Vol.

8%

Athletics

$98 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros currently hold AL division leads and are positioned for first-round byes into the ALDS, while the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox have secured the top two wild-card spots. The Cleveland Guardians lead the race for the final wild-card berth by one game over the Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers, with the AL West and Central races remaining within three games. Recent results, including strong stretches by the Yankees and Red Sox plus the Guardians' edge in head-to-head tiebreakers, have shaped current trader consensus around these six clubs reaching the division series. Remaining schedule strength, bullpen depth, and injury recoveries will determine final seeding and wild-card outcomes over the next three weeks.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros currently hold AL division leads and are positioned for first-round byes into the ALDS, while the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox have secured the top two wild-card spots. The Cleveland Guardians lead the race for the final wild-card berth by one game over the Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers, with the AL West and Central races remaining within three games. Recent results, including strong stretches by the Yankees and Red Sox plus the Guardians' edge in head-to-head tiebreakers, have shaped current trader consensus around these six clubs reaching the division series. Remaining schedule strength, bullpen depth, and injury recoveries will determine final seeding and wild-card outcomes over the next three weeks.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 75%, followed by "Chicago White Sox" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chicago White Sox" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.