Messi leads the 2026 MLS Golden Boot market at 42.5% implied probability as the defending champion with Inter Miami’s potent attack, though Petar Musa sits atop the goal-scoring table with 16 tallies in 18 appearances for FC Dallas. Traders weigh Messi’s proven finishing efficiency, higher shot volume, and consistent contributions against Musa’s current hot streak and clinical conversion rate. Sam Surridge, Martín Ojeda, and Denis Bouanga trail further back, their lower prices reflecting fewer goals and less star power or team support. Recent form, injury updates, and remaining schedule strength continue to shape the tight race between the top two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLionel Messi 42.4%
Petar Musa 32.8%
Sam Surridge 20.4%
Tai Baribo 5.4%
$891,253 Vol.
$891,253 Vol.
Lionel Messi
42%
Petar Musa
33%
Sam Surridge
11%
Tai Baribo
5%
Evander
5%
Hugo Cuypers
2%
Kévin Denkey
2%
Brian White
2%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Milan Iloski
1%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Dejan Joveljić
<1%
Anders Dreyer
<1%
Germán Berterame
<1%
Denis Bouanga
10%
Martín Ojeda
10%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Tadeo Allende
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Alonso Martínez
<1%
Danny Musovski
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Lionel Messi 42.4%
Petar Musa 32.8%
Sam Surridge 20.4%
Tai Baribo 5.4%
$891,253 Vol.
$891,253 Vol.
Lionel Messi
42%
Petar Musa
33%
Sam Surridge
11%
Tai Baribo
5%
Evander
5%
Hugo Cuypers
2%
Kévin Denkey
2%
Brian White
2%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Milan Iloski
1%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Dejan Joveljić
<1%
Anders Dreyer
<1%
Germán Berterame
<1%
Denis Bouanga
10%
Martín Ojeda
10%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Tadeo Allende
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Alonso Martínez
<1%
Danny Musovski
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Messi leads the 2026 MLS Golden Boot market at 42.5% implied probability as the defending champion with Inter Miami’s potent attack, though Petar Musa sits atop the goal-scoring table with 16 tallies in 18 appearances for FC Dallas. Traders weigh Messi’s proven finishing efficiency, higher shot volume, and consistent contributions against Musa’s current hot streak and clinical conversion rate. Sam Surridge, Martín Ojeda, and Denis Bouanga trail further back, their lower prices reflecting fewer goals and less star power or team support. Recent form, injury updates, and remaining schedule strength continue to shape the tight race between the top two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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