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NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

Michael McDowell 99.0%

John Hunter Nemechek 99.0%

Riley Herbst 99.0%

Austin Dillon 98.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael McDowell 99.0%

John Hunter Nemechek 99.0%

Riley Herbst 99.0%

Austin Dillon 98.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael McDowell

$5 Vol.

99%

John Hunter Nemechek

$5 Vol.

99%

Riley Herbst

$5 Vol.

99%

Austin Dillon

$5 Vol.

98%

Cole Custer

$5 Vol.

98%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$5 Vol.

97%

Daniel Suarez

$5 Vol.

97%

Zane Smith

$5 Vol.

97%

Connor Zilisch

$5 Vol.

97%

AJ Allmendinger

$5 Vol.

96%

Chase Elliott

$5 Vol.

96%

Chris Buescher

$5 Vol.

96%

Cody Ware

$5 Vol.

96%

Brad Keselowski

$5 Vol.

92%

Ross Chastain

$5 Vol.

92%

Ty Dillon

$5 Vol.

90%

Erik Jones

$5 Vol.

90%

Alex Bowman

$5 Vol.

90%

Austin Cindric

$5 Vol.

78%

William Byron

$5 Vol.

43%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$5 Vol.

42%

Ty Gibbs

$5 Vol.

42%

Chase Briscoe

$5 Vol.

39%

Christopher Bell

$267 Vol.

16%

Tyler Reddick

$226 Vol.

4%

Austin Hill

$5 Vol.

3%

Carson Hocevar

$5 Vol.

3%

Kyle Larson

$21 Vol.

47%

Denny Hamlin

$87 Vol.

48%

Joey Logano

$285 Vol.

-

Ryan Blaney

$193 Vol.

45%

Ryan Preece

$5 Vol.

-

Josh Berry

$188 Vol.

50%

Noah Gragson

$5 Vol.

-

Todd Gilliland

$5 Vol.

-

Shane Van Gisbergen

$5 Vol.

-

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.New Hampshire Motor Speedway’s flat, 1-mile layout rewards precise handling, strong restarts, and pit strategy, producing a deep field where multiple drivers remain in contention. Tyler Reddick’s pole position provides a short-track edge, yet recent form from Josh Berry, Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, and Denny Hamlin, combined with broad roster health across organizations, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. With no dominant favorite and the regular-season finale approaching, trader consensus reflects the track’s history of unpredictable results and the Cup Series’ current competitive parity.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,413
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.New Hampshire Motor Speedway’s flat, 1-mile layout rewards precise handling, strong restarts, and pit strategy, producing a deep field where multiple drivers remain in contention. Tyler Reddick’s pole position provides a short-track edge, yet recent form from Josh Berry, Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, and Denny Hamlin, combined with broad roster health across organizations, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. With no dominant favorite and the regular-season finale approaching, trader consensus reflects the track’s history of unpredictable results and the Cup Series’ current competitive parity.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,413
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael McDowell" at 50%, followed by "John Hunter Nemechek" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is "Michael McDowell" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Hunter Nemechek" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.