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Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

Brad Keselowski 42.0%

Ty Dillon 24.1%

Ryan Blaney 19%

Ross Chastain 18.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Keselowski 42.0%

Ty Dillon 24.1%

Ryan Blaney 19%

Ross Chastain 18.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Keselowski

$5 Vol.

42%

Ty Dillon

$5 Vol.

24%

Ryan Blaney

$193 Vol.

19%

Ross Chastain

$5 Vol.

18%

John Hunter Nemechek

$5 Vol.

18%

Christopher Bell

$267 Vol.

16%

Austin Dillon

$5 Vol.

15%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$5 Vol.

14%

Michael McDowell

$5 Vol.

12%

Connor Zilisch

$5 Vol.

12%

Denny Hamlin

$87 Vol.

12%

AJ Allmendinger

$5 Vol.

12%

Daniel Suarez

$5 Vol.

12%

Erik Jones

$5 Vol.

12%

Cody Ware

$5 Vol.

12%

Cole Custer

$5 Vol.

12%

Riley Herbst

$5 Vol.

12%

Austin Hill

$5 Vol.

12%

Zane Smith

$5 Vol.

11%

Joey Logano

$275 Vol.

10%

William Byron

$5 Vol.

10%

Josh Berry

$188 Vol.

9%

Ty Gibbs

$5 Vol.

9%

Tyler Reddick

$207 Vol.

7%

Kyle Larson

$21 Vol.

6%

Chase Briscoe

$5 Vol.

4%

Chris Buescher

$5 Vol.

2%

Carson Hocevar

$5 Vol.

2%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$5 Vol.

2%

Ryan Preece

$5 Vol.

2%

Chase Elliott

$5 Vol.

2%

Austin Cindric

$5 Vol.

2%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$5 Vol.

2%

Alex Bowman

$5 Vol.

1%

Noah Gragson

$5 Vol.

14%

Todd Gilliland

$5 Vol.

18%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Dollar Tree 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway features a tightly contested field on the flat 1.058-mile oval, where historical track performance and recent momentum have compressed implied probabilities around several frontrunners. Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell lead trader consensus due to Blaney’s prior win at the venue and Bell’s multiple past victories there, while Denny Hamlin benefits from four straight top-five finishes and Joe Gibbs Racing’s strong short-track pedigree. Joey Logano’s Richmond victory, Josh Berry’s three consecutive top-10s, and William Byron’s solid qualifying further spread support. With Tyler Reddick on pole and playoff positioning at stake for several drivers, the bunching reflects comparable equipment across Penske, JGR, and Hendrick teams alongside unpredictable short-oval dynamics.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,384
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Dollar Tree 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway features a tightly contested field on the flat 1.058-mile oval, where historical track performance and recent momentum have compressed implied probabilities around several frontrunners. Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell lead trader consensus due to Blaney’s prior win at the venue and Bell’s multiple past victories there, while Denny Hamlin benefits from four straight top-five finishes and Joe Gibbs Racing’s strong short-track pedigree. Joey Logano’s Richmond victory, Josh Berry’s three consecutive top-10s, and William Byron’s solid qualifying further spread support. With Tyler Reddick on pole and playoff positioning at stake for several drivers, the bunching reflects comparable equipment across Penske, JGR, and Hendrick teams alongside unpredictable short-oval dynamics.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,384
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ty Dillon" at 24%, followed by "Brad Keselowski" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" is "Ty Dillon" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Keselowski" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.