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icon for Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

icon for Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

NEW
Oct 31, 2026
Polymarket

$357 Vol.

Polymarket

September 25

$30 Vol.

30%

October 2

$473 Vol.

25%

October 9

$287 Vol.

47%

October 31

$248 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

"Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following:

1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins);
2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets;
3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.

Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21).

The following would not qualify:

- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;
- Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;
- Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);
- Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;
- Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;
- Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules;
- The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);
- The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);

Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$357
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

"Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following:

1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins);
2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets;
3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.

Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21).

The following would not qualify:

- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;
- Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;
- Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);
- Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;
- Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;
- Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules;
- The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);
- The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);

Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$357
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 11:58 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Senate passes Clarity Act by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 52%, followed by "October 9" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Senate passes Clarity Act by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Senate passes Clarity Act by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Senate passes Clarity Act by...?" is "October 31" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 9" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Senate passes Clarity Act by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.