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icon for The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate

The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate

icon for The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate

The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate

Radiant 99.5%

Dire <1%

Neither <1%

Polymarket

$25,101 Vol.

Radiant 99.5%

Dire <1%

Neither <1%

Polymarket

$25,101 Vol.

Radiant

$10,130 Vol.

100%

Dire

$13,758 Vol.

<1%

Neither

$1,214 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.Radiant holds a structural edge in Dota 2 through map asymmetries favoring lane equilibrium, neutral camp access, Roshan positioning, and vision control, producing consistent win rates above 52 percent in recent pro play and patches. TI 2026 group-stage data reinforced this pattern with Radiant at 52–54 percent across roughly 110–150 maps, aligning with historical International trends where the side has posted the higher mark in most editions. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent reflects the low likelihood of Dire overcoming the gap over the full tournament even with playoff variance. Only a late major balance adjustment or extreme statistical reversal in remaining matches could realistically shift the outcome.

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China.

Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.

This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.

If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Volume
$25,101
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.Radiant holds a structural edge in Dota 2 through map asymmetries favoring lane equilibrium, neutral camp access, Roshan positioning, and vision control, producing consistent win rates above 52 percent in recent pro play and patches. TI 2026 group-stage data reinforced this pattern with Radiant at 52–54 percent across roughly 110–150 maps, aligning with historical International trends where the side has posted the higher mark in most editions. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent reflects the low likelihood of Dire overcoming the gap over the full tournament even with playoff variance. Only a late major balance adjustment or extreme statistical reversal in remaining matches could realistically shift the outcome.

This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China.

Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.

This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.

If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Volume
$25,101
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
This market will resolve based on which map side — Radiant or Dire — wins more total games across The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count. This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games. If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radiant" at 100%, followed by "Dire" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate" is "Radiant" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dire" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The International 2026: Will Radiant or Dire have Higher Win Rate" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.