**Todd Blanche serves as U.S. Attorney General following Senate confirmation in August 2026.** An ethics complaint filed in June 2026 by more than 100 former judges and advocacy groups with the New York Appellate Division’s First Department Grievance Committee alleges violations of the New York Rules of Professional Conduct tied to his prior roles and DOJ actions. The committee’s chief attorney initially declined to open an investigation, prompting a pending appeal for reconsideration. A federal judge in related litigation issued a disciplinary referral to state bars, but New York’s formal grievance process requires investigation, possible hearings, and appeals before any sanction such as suspension or disbarment. No such steps have advanced, and the timeline for resolution extends well beyond 2026 even if pursued. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of expedited action, and institutional norms protecting sitting officials absent final adjudicated findings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTodd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
13% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
13% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Todd Blanche serves as U.S. Attorney General following Senate confirmation in August 2026.** An ethics complaint filed in June 2026 by more than 100 former judges and advocacy groups with the New York Appellate Division’s First Department Grievance Committee alleges violations of the New York Rules of Professional Conduct tied to his prior roles and DOJ actions. The committee’s chief attorney initially declined to open an investigation, prompting a pending appeal for reconsideration.
A federal judge in related litigation issued a disciplinary referral to state bars, but New York’s formal grievance process requires investigation, possible hearings, and appeals before any sanction such as suspension or disbarment. No such steps have advanced, and the timeline for resolution extends well beyond 2026 even if pursued. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of expedited action, and institutional norms protecting sitting officials absent final adjudicated findings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$350End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Todd Blanche serves as U.S. Attorney General following Senate confirmation in August 2026.** An ethics complaint filed in June 2026 by more than 100 former judges and advocacy groups with the New York Appellate Division’s First Department Grievance Committee alleges violations of the New York Rules of Professional Conduct tied to his prior roles and DOJ actions. The committee’s chief attorney initially declined to open an investigation, prompting a pending appeal for reconsideration.
A federal judge in related litigation issued a disciplinary referral to state bars, but New York’s formal grievance process requires investigation, possible hearings, and appeals before any sanction such as suspension or disbarment. No such steps have advanced, and the timeline for resolution extends well beyond 2026 even if pursued. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of expedited action, and institutional norms protecting sitting officials absent final adjudicated findings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.
Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$350End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Todd Blanche serves as U.S. Attorney General following Senate confirmation in August 2026.** An ethics complaint filed in June 2026 by more than 100 former judges and advocacy groups with the New York Appellate Division’s First Department Grievance Committee alleges violations of the New York Rules of Professional Conduct tied to his prior roles and DOJ actions. The committee’s chief attorney initially declined to open an investigation, prompting a pending appeal for reconsideration. A federal judge in related litigation issued a disciplinary referral to state bars, but New York’s formal grievance process requires investigation, possible hearings, and appeals before any sanction such as suspension or disbarment. No such steps have advanced, and the timeline for resolution extends well beyond 2026 even if pursued. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of expedited action, and institutional norms protecting sitting officials absent final adjudicated findings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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