Lyon hold a narrow edge in the Champions League playoff second leg at Groupama Stadium after the 1-1 first-leg draw in Istanbul, where new signing Loïs Openda opened the scoring before Mason Greenwood equalized. The French side’s resilience—demonstrated by overturning a deficit against Sparta Prague in the prior round—combined with home advantage and squad reinforcements like Openda, Mads Bidstrup, and Zachary Athekame underpins trader consensus around their 51.5% implied probability. Fenerbahçe’s depth, featuring N’Golo Kanté, Mattéo Guendouzi, and Greenwood, faces notable absences including Romelu Lukaku, while historical head-to-head results lean toward Lyon. The balanced 26.5% draw and 24.5% away-win prices reflect the competitive tie and Lyon’s stronger recent momentum.
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Olympique Lyonnais – Fenerbahçe SK
Team to Advance
$2.7K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$7.5K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$41 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$155 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$208 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$5 Vol.
Olympique Lyonnais Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Fenerbahçe SK Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Olympique Lyonnais – Fenerbahçe SK
Team to Advance
$2.7K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$7.5K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$41 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$155 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$208 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$5 Vol.
Olympique Lyonnais Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Fenerbahçe SK Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lyon hold a narrow edge in the Champions League playoff second leg at Groupama Stadium after the 1-1 first-leg draw in Istanbul, where new signing Loïs Openda opened the scoring before Mason Greenwood equalized. The French side’s resilience—demonstrated by overturning a deficit against Sparta Prague in the prior round—combined with home advantage and squad reinforcements like Openda, Mads Bidstrup, and Zachary Athekame underpins trader consensus around their 51.5% implied probability. Fenerbahçe’s depth, featuring N’Golo Kanté, Mattéo Guendouzi, and Greenwood, faces notable absences including Romelu Lukaku, while historical head-to-head results lean toward Lyon. The balanced 26.5% draw and 24.5% away-win prices reflect the competitive tie and Lyon’s stronger recent momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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