Skip to main content
icon for UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
Sports·UEFA

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

icon for UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
Sports·UEFA

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

Spain 23%

France 20%

England 16%

Germany 10%

Polymarket

$37,821 Vol.

Spain 23%

France 20%

England 16%

Germany 10%

Polymarket

$37,821 Vol.

Albania

$724 Vol.

<1%

Andorra

$745 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$350 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$905 Vol.

1%

Azerbaijan

$175 Vol.

<1%

Belarus

$175 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$1,743 Vol.

6%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$668 Vol.

<1%

Bulgaria

$175 Vol.

<1%

Croatia

$1,221 Vol.

2%

Cyprus

$175 Vol.

<1%

Czech Republic

$700 Vol.

1%

Denmark

$899 Vol.

2%

England

$1,216 Vol.

16%

Estonia

$366 Vol.

<1%

Faroe Islands

$175 Vol.

<1%

Finland

$483 Vol.

<1%

France

$3,311 Vol.

20%

Georgia

$504 Vol.

<1%

Germany

$1,168 Vol.

10%

Gibraltar

$274 Vol.

<1%

Greece

$1,191 Vol.

1%

Hungary

$806 Vol.

1%

Iceland

$483 Vol.

<1%

Israel

$175 Vol.

<1%

Italy

$1,068 Vol.

5%

Kazakhstan

$175 Vol.

<1%

Kosovo

$493 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$175 Vol.

<1%

Liechtenstein

$175 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$375 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$175 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$175 Vol.

<1%

Moldova

$175 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$172 Vol.

<1%

Netherlands

$1,163 Vol.

7%

North Macedonia

$112 Vol.

<1%

Northern Ireland

$175 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$1,224 Vol.

5%

Poland

$731 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$1,168 Vol.

10%

Republic of Ireland

$623 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$475 Vol.

<1%

Russia

$242 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$175 Vol.

<1%

Scotland

$517 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$489 Vol.

<1%

Slovakia

$174 Vol.

<1%

Slovenia

$691 Vol.

1%

Spain

$3,909 Vol.

23%

Sweden

$991 Vol.

1%

Switzerland

$870 Vol.

2%

Turkey

$972 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$424 Vol.

<1%

Wales

$733 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spain’s victory in the 2026 World Cup, capped by a 1-0 final win over Argentina after a 2-0 semifinal defeat of France, underpins their 22.5% implied probability as narrow leaders. Their 38-match unbeaten run, elite defensive metrics, and emerging talents such as Lamine Yamal sustain momentum into Euro 2028 qualification. France and England follow closely at 19.5% and 15.5% on the strength of deep attacking options and third-place playoff success, respectively, while Germany and Portugal sit at 9.5% amid squad transitions. The tight clustering among the top six reflects comparable FIFA rankings, recent Nations League and World Cup form, and limited roster turnover that keeps multiple sides realistically positioned for the 2028 tournament hosted across the UK and Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,821
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spain’s victory in the 2026 World Cup, capped by a 1-0 final win over Argentina after a 2-0 semifinal defeat of France, underpins their 22.5% implied probability as narrow leaders. Their 38-match unbeaten run, elite defensive metrics, and emerging talents such as Lamine Yamal sustain momentum into Euro 2028 qualification. France and England follow closely at 19.5% and 15.5% on the strength of deep attacking options and third-place playoff success, respectively, while Germany and Portugal sit at 9.5% amid squad transitions. The tight clustering among the top six reflects comparable FIFA rankings, recent Nations League and World Cup form, and limited roster turnover that keeps multiple sides realistically positioned for the 2028 tournament hosted across the UK and Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,821
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

17%
icon for Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

22%
icon for Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

70%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA EURO 2028: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 55+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 23%, followed by "France" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner" has generated $37.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner," browse the 55+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner" is "Spain" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.