The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) Real Estate Index, which tracks listed property developers rather than physical asset prices, peaked near 16,900 in late February 2026 before plunging 20-33% in March amid regional geopolitical tensions involving Iran, wiping out prior year-to-date gains and leaving it down roughly 20% YTD and over 30% from six-month highs by mid-year. Actual residential transaction prices rose a more modest 5-8% year-over-year through H1, supported by population inflows and investment demand but tempered by record new supply deliveries (projected near 60,000-70,000 units for the year) and slower price growth forecasts of 3-10% for 2026 overall. Key swing factors for year-end levels include any de-escalation in Middle East risks, global equity sentiment, and transaction volumes as the market shifts toward a fundamentals-driven phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$92,840 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 18,000
5%
↑ 16,000
9%
↑ 14,000
17%
↓ 10,000
58%
↓ 8,000
7%
↓ 6,000
6%
↓ 4,000
4%
$92,840 Vol.
↑ 18,000
$7,688 Vol.
5%
↑ 16,000
$16,091 Vol.
9%
↑ 14,000
$12,512 Vol.
17%
↓ 10,000
$24,618 Vol.
58%
↓ 8,000
$8,489 Vol.
7%
↓ 6,000
$11,987 Vol.
6%
↓ 4,000
$11,453 Vol.
4%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) Real Estate Index, which tracks listed property developers rather than physical asset prices, peaked near 16,900 in late February 2026 before plunging 20-33% in March amid regional geopolitical tensions involving Iran, wiping out prior year-to-date gains and leaving it down roughly 20% YTD and over 30% from six-month highs by mid-year. Actual residential transaction prices rose a more modest 5-8% year-over-year through H1, supported by population inflows and investment demand but tempered by record new supply deliveries (projected near 60,000-70,000 units for the year) and slower price growth forecasts of 3-10% for 2026 overall. Key swing factors for year-end levels include any de-escalation in Middle East risks, global equity sentiment, and transaction volumes as the market shifts toward a fundamentals-driven phase.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$92,840End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) Real Estate Index, which tracks listed property developers rather than physical asset prices, peaked near 16,900 in late February 2026 before plunging 20-33% in March amid regional geopolitical tensions involving Iran, wiping out prior year-to-date gains and leaving it down roughly 20% YTD and over 30% from six-month highs by mid-year. Actual residential transaction prices rose a more modest 5-8% year-over-year through H1, supported by population inflows and investment demand but tempered by record new supply deliveries (projected near 60,000-70,000 units for the year) and slower price growth forecasts of 3-10% for 2026 overall. Key swing factors for year-end levels include any de-escalation in Middle East risks, global equity sentiment, and transaction volumes as the market shifts toward a fundamentals-driven phase.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Volume
$92,840End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) Real Estate Index, which tracks listed property developers rather than physical asset prices, peaked near 16,900 in late February 2026 before plunging 20-33% in March amid regional geopolitical tensions involving Iran, wiping out prior year-to-date gains and leaving it down roughly 20% YTD and over 30% from six-month highs by mid-year. Actual residential transaction prices rose a more modest 5-8% year-over-year through H1, supported by population inflows and investment demand but tempered by record new supply deliveries (projected near 60,000-70,000 units for the year) and slower price growth forecasts of 3-10% for 2026 overall. Key swing factors for year-end levels include any de-escalation in Middle East risks, global equity sentiment, and transaction volumes as the market shifts toward a fundamentals-driven phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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