Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted or had imposed new congressional maps for the 2026 House elections through mid-decade redistricting, a process driven by Republican-led legislatures in most cases seeking additional safe seats and Democratic responses in California. Key catalysts include special legislative sessions, ballot measures, and Supreme Court rulings such as Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act enforcement standards, prompting map adjustments in Southern states. Litigation continues to shape final lines in several places, while candidate filing deadlines and any remaining court deadlines before November 3, 2026, remain the primary variables that could still alter which maps reach voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$397,111 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
85%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$397,111 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
85%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted or had imposed new congressional maps for the 2026 House elections through mid-decade redistricting, a process driven by Republican-led legislatures in most cases seeking additional safe seats and Democratic responses in California. Key catalysts include special legislative sessions, ballot measures, and Supreme Court rulings such as Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act enforcement standards, prompting map adjustments in Southern states. Litigation continues to shape final lines in several places, while candidate filing deadlines and any remaining court deadlines before November 3, 2026, remain the primary variables that could still alter which maps reach voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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