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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$279,465 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$279,465 Vol.

Polymarket

Aljamain Sterling

$216 Vol.

86%

Ciryl Gane

$1,582 Vol.

36%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

34%

Manel Kape

$45,697 Vol.

19%

Sergei Pavlovich

$190 Vol.

11%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

17%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,305 Vol.

11%

Alexander Volkov

$572 Vol.

11%

Dricus Du Plessis

$129 Vol.

11%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,313 Vol.

10%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,384 Vol.

7%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,118 Vol.

6%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$57 Vol.

6%

Sean O'Malley

$1,465 Vol.

5%

Diego Lopes

$4,972 Vol.

5%

Yair Rodriguez

$40 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$6 Vol.

16%

Ian Machado Garry

$2,192 Vol.

2%

Leon Edwards

$41,180 Vol.

2%

Belal Muhammad

$380 Vol.

2%

Cory Sandhagen

$302 Vol.

2%

Jiří Procházka

$3,664 Vol.

2%

Kamaru Usman

$6,373 Vol.

1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$49,209 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$1,553 Vol.

1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,129 Vol.

51%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,078 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean Strickland's May 2026 split-decision upset of Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 to recapture the middleweight title has anchored trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 2026 champion market. Multiple divisions saw rapid shifts earlier in the year, including Justin Gaethje's interim lightweight win over Paddy Pimblett followed by his undisputed TKO of Ilia Topuria, Ciryl Gane's interim heavyweight stoppage of Alex Pereira, and Carlos Ulberg's light heavyweight KO of Jiří Procházka. Islam Makhachev's welterweight defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 and Alexander Volkanovski's featherweight defense versus Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 represent key remaining variables, alongside bantamweight and flyweight activity. Roster health, matchmaking, and any late-year injuries or vacancies could still expand the list of 2026 titleholders before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$279,465
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean Strickland's May 2026 split-decision upset of Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 to recapture the middleweight title has anchored trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 2026 champion market. Multiple divisions saw rapid shifts earlier in the year, including Justin Gaethje's interim lightweight win over Paddy Pimblett followed by his undisputed TKO of Ilia Topuria, Ciryl Gane's interim heavyweight stoppage of Alex Pereira, and Carlos Ulberg's light heavyweight KO of Jiří Procházka. Islam Makhachev's welterweight defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 and Alexander Volkanovski's featherweight defense versus Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 represent key remaining variables, alongside bantamweight and flyweight activity. Roster health, matchmaking, and any late-year injuries or vacancies could still expand the list of 2026 titleholders before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$279,465
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $279.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.