Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has produced an unprecedented wave of removals from the People’s Liberation Army leadership, with more than 100 senior officers investigated or sidelined since 2022. The Central Military Commission has been reduced to just two active members alongside Xi after the January 2026 probes into vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following earlier 2025 dismissals of other CMC figures. These moves, framed as disciplinary enforcement, have targeted procurement, political work, and combat units alike. Into mid-2026 the drive continues at lower and mid-levels, with fresh promotions filling vacancies and signals that loyalty vetting remains active ahead of future personnel decisions. Traders monitoring the market focus on whether additional Politburo or ministerial figures face similar scrutiny before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$202,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$202,094 Vol.
Dong Jun
$38,314 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,733 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,031 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$45,024 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,119 Vol.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$28,364 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has produced an unprecedented wave of removals from the People’s Liberation Army leadership, with more than 100 senior officers investigated or sidelined since 2022. The Central Military Commission has been reduced to just two active members alongside Xi after the January 2026 probes into vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following earlier 2025 dismissals of other CMC figures. These moves, framed as disciplinary enforcement, have targeted procurement, political work, and combat units alike. Into mid-2026 the drive continues at lower and mid-levels, with fresh promotions filling vacancies and signals that loyalty vetting remains active ahead of future personnel decisions. Traders monitoring the market focus on whether additional Politburo or ministerial figures face similar scrutiny before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$202,094End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has produced an unprecedented wave of removals from the People’s Liberation Army leadership, with more than 100 senior officers investigated or sidelined since 2022. The Central Military Commission has been reduced to just two active members alongside Xi after the January 2026 probes into vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following earlier 2025 dismissals of other CMC figures. These moves, framed as disciplinary enforcement, have targeted procurement, political work, and combat units alike. Into mid-2026 the drive continues at lower and mid-levels, with fresh promotions filling vacancies and signals that loyalty vetting remains active ahead of future personnel decisions. Traders monitoring the market focus on whether additional Politburo or ministerial figures face similar scrutiny before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$202,094End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has produced an unprecedented wave of removals from the People’s Liberation Army leadership, with more than 100 senior officers investigated or sidelined since 2022. The Central Military Commission has been reduced to just two active members alongside Xi after the January 2026 probes into vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following earlier 2025 dismissals of other CMC figures. These moves, framed as disciplinary enforcement, have targeted procurement, political work, and combat units alike. Into mid-2026 the drive continues at lower and mid-levels, with fresh promotions filling vacancies and signals that loyalty vetting remains active ahead of future personnel decisions. Traders monitoring the market focus on whether additional Politburo or ministerial figures face similar scrutiny before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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