Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive continues to reshape senior Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army ranks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. In January 2026 the Ministry of National Defense placed Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation, following the October 2025 removal of multiple CMC members and generals. A July 2026 Politburo expulsion of Ma Xingrui extended the campaign to civilian leadership. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have left the CMC with only one active military vice chairman and signal Xi’s emphasis on loyalty and institutional control. Traders track further investigations of remaining senior officers or provincial officials as potential signals of additional purges before the next congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$202,161 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$202,161 Vol.
Dong Jun
$38,323 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,783 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,032 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$45,024 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,119 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,364 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,675 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive continues to reshape senior Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army ranks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. In January 2026 the Ministry of National Defense placed Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation, following the October 2025 removal of multiple CMC members and generals. A July 2026 Politburo expulsion of Ma Xingrui extended the campaign to civilian leadership. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have left the CMC with only one active military vice chairman and signal Xi’s emphasis on loyalty and institutional control. Traders track further investigations of remaining senior officers or provincial officials as potential signals of additional purges before the next congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$202,161End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive continues to reshape senior Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army ranks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. In January 2026 the Ministry of National Defense placed Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation, following the October 2025 removal of multiple CMC members and generals. A July 2026 Politburo expulsion of Ma Xingrui extended the campaign to civilian leadership. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have left the CMC with only one active military vice chairman and signal Xi’s emphasis on loyalty and institutional control. Traders track further investigations of remaining senior officers or provincial officials as potential signals of additional purges before the next congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$202,161End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive continues to reshape senior Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army ranks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. In January 2026 the Ministry of National Defense placed Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation, following the October 2025 removal of multiple CMC members and generals. A July 2026 Politburo expulsion of Ma Xingrui extended the campaign to civilian leadership. These moves, framed officially as discipline enforcement, have left the CMC with only one active military vice chairman and signal Xi’s emphasis on loyalty and institutional control. Traders track further investigations of remaining senior officers or provincial officials as potential signals of additional purges before the next congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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