Skip to main content
icon for Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?

Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?

icon for Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?

Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?

3% chance
Polymarket
NEW
3% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast. A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod. The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count. ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market. The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count. The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS has repeatedly denied any history of consuming insects during live Counter-Strike broadcasts, framing past monitor-bug clips and chatter memes as unfounded allegations rather than intentional challenges. This consistent public stance, combined with his focus on standard stream content like skin investments and gameplay, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no occurrence by year-end. The implied probability reflects broad agreement that such an act remains outside his established routine. Late shifts remain possible if a high-value donation drive or cross-streamer wager escalates into a dare, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.

A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.

The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.

ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.

The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
Volume
$1,534
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast. A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod. The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count. ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market. The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count. The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast. A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod. The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count. ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market. The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count. The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS has repeatedly denied any history of consuming insects during live Counter-Strike broadcasts, framing past monitor-bug clips and chatter memes as unfounded allegations rather than intentional challenges. This consistent public stance, combined with his focus on standard stream content like skin investments and gameplay, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no occurrence by year-end. The implied probability reflects broad agreement that such an act remains outside his established routine. Late shifts remain possible if a high-value donation drive or cross-streamer wager escalates into a dare, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.

A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.

The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.

ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.

The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
Volume
$1,534
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast. A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod. The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count. ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market. The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count. The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.