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Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

icon for Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$20,516 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$20,516 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé’s contract with Real Madrid runs until June 2029, and recent developments underscore his established role as the club’s central attacking figure ahead of the 2026-27 campaign. He has returned early from international duty, begun training under José Mourinho, and publicly emphasized his commitment to winning major trophies with the side, aligning with president Florentino Pérez’s earlier statements ruling out any departure. The summer transfer window closes on August 31 with no credible reports of active interest from other clubs or internal discussions about a sale. Trader consensus at 99.5% for him remaining reflects this locked-in status and the absence of sudden developments. The only realistic shifts before the deadline would require an unprecedented last-minute offer or unforeseen personal circumstances, both viewed as highly improbable given the current timeline and club stance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.

If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.

If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,516
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé’s contract with Real Madrid runs until June 2029, and recent developments underscore his established role as the club’s central attacking figure ahead of the 2026-27 campaign. He has returned early from international duty, begun training under José Mourinho, and publicly emphasized his commitment to winning major trophies with the side, aligning with president Florentino Pérez’s earlier statements ruling out any departure. The summer transfer window closes on August 31 with no credible reports of active interest from other clubs or internal discussions about a sale. Trader consensus at 99.5% for him remaining reflects this locked-in status and the absence of sudden developments. The only realistic shifts before the deadline would require an unprecedented last-minute offer or unforeseen personal circumstances, both viewed as highly improbable given the current timeline and club stance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.

If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.

If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,516
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" has generated $20.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.