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icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako, the American-born streamer and social media personality of Haitian-Filipino descent, faces no credible deportation risk in 2026 as a U.S. citizen with established residency in New York. Trader consensus at 95.9% for “No” stems from the absence of any active immigration proceedings, visa issues, or criminal convictions that could trigger removal—factors that distinguish his situation from temporary foreign visa holders. Recent online controversies, including July exchanges involving Elon Musk over the streamer’s public statements on Islam, generated social media noise but produced no legal action or enforcement signals. The May Australia visa cancellation and lifetime ban, which Sneako disputed as a natural tour conclusion, further underscores that international travel friction does not translate to U.S. removal. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, limited to an unforeseen major felony conviction or rare denaturalization case, neither of which appears on the horizon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$651
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako, the American-born streamer and social media personality of Haitian-Filipino descent, faces no credible deportation risk in 2026 as a U.S. citizen with established residency in New York. Trader consensus at 95.9% for “No” stems from the absence of any active immigration proceedings, visa issues, or criminal convictions that could trigger removal—factors that distinguish his situation from temporary foreign visa holders. Recent online controversies, including July exchanges involving Elon Musk over the streamer’s public statements on Islam, generated social media noise but produced no legal action or enforcement signals. The May Australia visa cancellation and lifetime ban, which Sneako disputed as a natural tour conclusion, further underscores that international travel friction does not translate to U.S. removal. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, limited to an unforeseen major felony conviction or rare denaturalization case, neither of which appears on the horizon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$651
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.