Ongoing acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the core driver of the 55.5% market-implied odds for a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share bid in July valuing PayPal above $53 billion, with negotiations continuing into August as PayPal seeks a higher price. Earlier February reports of Stripe’s interest in assets triggered sharp PayPal share gains, reflecting the strategic fit given Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, $6.8 billion 2025 revenue, and $3.2 billion free cash flow versus PayPal’s slower growth and depressed market cap. Traders price in a realistic but uncertain path to closing this year, factoring regulatory review, financing, and potential price adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated56% chance
$72,884 Vol.
$72,884 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
56% chance
$72,884 Vol.
$72,884 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the core driver of the 55.5% market-implied odds for a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share bid in July valuing PayPal above $53 billion, with negotiations continuing into August as PayPal seeks a higher price. Earlier February reports of Stripe’s interest in assets triggered sharp PayPal share gains, reflecting the strategic fit given Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, $6.8 billion 2025 revenue, and $3.2 billion free cash flow versus PayPal’s slower growth and depressed market cap. Traders price in a realistic but uncertain path to closing this year, factoring regulatory review, financing, and potential price adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$72,884End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the core driver of the 55.5% market-implied odds for a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share bid in July valuing PayPal above $53 billion, with negotiations continuing into August as PayPal seeks a higher price. Earlier February reports of Stripe’s interest in assets triggered sharp PayPal share gains, reflecting the strategic fit given Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, $6.8 billion 2025 revenue, and $3.2 billion free cash flow versus PayPal’s slower growth and depressed market cap. Traders price in a realistic but uncertain path to closing this year, factoring regulatory review, financing, and potential price adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,884End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the core driver of the 55.5% market-implied odds for a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share bid in July valuing PayPal above $53 billion, with negotiations continuing into August as PayPal seeks a higher price. Earlier February reports of Stripe’s interest in assets triggered sharp PayPal share gains, reflecting the strategic fit given Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, $6.8 billion 2025 revenue, and $3.2 billion free cash flow versus PayPal’s slower growth and depressed market cap. Traders price in a realistic but uncertain path to closing this year, factoring regulatory review, financing, and potential price adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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