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icon for Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?

Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?

icon for Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?

Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?

68% chance
Polymarket
NEW
68% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Aurora (Aurora Gaming), the Counter-Strike 2 organization, completed a major roster overhaul in early July 2026 shortly after its semifinal run at IEM Cologne. The team shifted from its Turkish core—retaining XANTARES, woxic, and Wicadia while benching MAJ3R and soulfly—to an international lineup featuring in-game leader kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, and head coach ash. This change aligned with HLTV-tracked criteria and addressed tactical limitations exposed in prior events. The new five debuted at the Esports World Cup in August with mixed results, including a narrow loss to FURIA, before competing in BLAST Bounty and StarLadder qualifiers. In CS2’s fluid transfer environment, organizations frequently adjust lineups mid-cycle based on integration issues, recent form, or upcoming schedule demands. With the 2026 season extending into late fall events, trader consensus at 68% Yes for an additional change by December 31 reflects the team’s transitional status and established pattern of roster experimentation rather than guaranteed stability after one overhaul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Aurora (Aurora Gaming), the Counter-Strike 2 organization, completed a major roster overhaul in early July 2026 shortly after its semifinal run at IEM Cologne. The team shifted from its Turkish core—retaining XANTARES, woxic, and Wicadia while benching MAJ3R and soulfly—to an international lineup featuring in-game leader kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, and head coach ash. This change aligned with HLTV-tracked criteria and addressed tactical limitations exposed in prior events. The new five debuted at the Esports World Cup in August with mixed results, including a narrow loss to FURIA, before competing in BLAST Bounty and StarLadder qualifiers. In CS2’s fluid transfer environment, organizations frequently adjust lineups mid-cycle based on integration issues, recent form, or upcoming schedule demands. With the 2026 season extending into late fall events, trader consensus at 68% Yes for an additional change by December 31 reflects the team’s transitional status and established pattern of roster experimentation rather than guaranteed stability after one overhaul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 68% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 68¢, the market collectively assigns a 68% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is 68% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 68% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Team Aurora Make a Roster Change by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.