The narrow August 11 primary results, with David Crowley defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes or 0.4 percentage points after nearly complete canvassing, produced no automatic recount under Wisconsin law. Hong's prompt concession eliminated the sole realistic path for a candidate-initiated petition, as state rules require an aggrieved candidate to file within three business days of the canvass and cover costs unless the margin falls below 0.25 percent. With certification deadlines approaching and no verified challenge filed, traders assign near-certainty to the absence of any ordered recount by August 31. A reversal by Hong, an unexpected filing by another candidate, or a late administrative discovery of irregularities could theoretically reopen the window, though these remain remote given the completed vote tabulation and public statements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
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Aug 31, 2026
<1% chance
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Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow August 11 primary results, with David Crowley defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes or 0.4 percentage points after nearly complete canvassing, produced no automatic recount under Wisconsin law. Hong's prompt concession eliminated the sole realistic path for a candidate-initiated petition, as state rules require an aggrieved candidate to file within three business days of the canvass and cover costs unless the margin falls below 0.25 percent. With certification deadlines approaching and no verified challenge filed, traders assign near-certainty to the absence of any ordered recount by August 31. A reversal by Hong, an unexpected filing by another candidate, or a late administrative discovery of irregularities could theoretically reopen the window, though these remain remote given the completed vote tabulation and public statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$2,400End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow August 11 primary results, with David Crowley defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes or 0.4 percentage points after nearly complete canvassing, produced no automatic recount under Wisconsin law. Hong's prompt concession eliminated the sole realistic path for a candidate-initiated petition, as state rules require an aggrieved candidate to file within three business days of the canvass and cover costs unless the margin falls below 0.25 percent. With certification deadlines approaching and no verified challenge filed, traders assign near-certainty to the absence of any ordered recount by August 31. A reversal by Hong, an unexpected filing by another candidate, or a late administrative discovery of irregularities could theoretically reopen the window, though these remain remote given the completed vote tabulation and public statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,400End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The narrow August 11 primary results, with David Crowley defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes or 0.4 percentage points after nearly complete canvassing, produced no automatic recount under Wisconsin law. Hong's prompt concession eliminated the sole realistic path for a candidate-initiated petition, as state rules require an aggrieved candidate to file within three business days of the canvass and cover costs unless the margin falls below 0.25 percent. With certification deadlines approaching and no verified challenge filed, traders assign near-certainty to the absence of any ordered recount by August 31. A reversal by Hong, an unexpected filing by another candidate, or a late administrative discovery of irregularities could theoretically reopen the window, though these remain remote given the completed vote tabulation and public statements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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