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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 86%

Olivia Miles 10.7%

Caitlin Clark <1%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$199,037 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 86%

Olivia Miles 10.7%

Caitlin Clark <1%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$199,037 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$40,983 Vol.

86%

Olivia Miles

$3,109 Vol.

11%

Caitlin Clark

$17,634 Vol.

1%

Alyssa Thomas

$93,832 Vol.

1%

Paige Bueckers

$4,598 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$26,678 Vol.

<1%

Gabby Williams

$1,787 Vol.

<1%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,516 Vol.

<1%

Jackie Young

$1,536 Vol.

<1%

Breanna Stewart

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

Napheesa Collier

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

Kelsey Plum

$1,475 Vol.

<1%

Allisha Gray

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the 2026 WNBA MVP, driven by her league-leading scoring (25.9 PPG), rebounding (9.5 RPG), blocks (2.0 BPG), and advanced efficiency metrics as a two-way center for the Las Vegas Aces. The four-time winner continues her pattern of elite usage and defensive impact across 35 games, positioning her for a potential fifth award and third straight. Olivia Miles sits second at 10.7% as the top rookie on the league-leading Lynx, while Caitlin Clark trails far behind. A late injury to Wilson, a historic carry from Miles on a championship Minnesota team, or an unexpected surge from another candidate remain the primary paths that could shift the outcome before season's end.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,037
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson holds overwhelming trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the 2026 WNBA MVP, driven by her league-leading scoring (25.9 PPG), rebounding (9.5 RPG), blocks (2.0 BPG), and advanced efficiency metrics as a two-way center for the Las Vegas Aces. The four-time winner continues her pattern of elite usage and defensive impact across 35 games, positioning her for a potential fifth award and third straight. Olivia Miles sits second at 10.7% as the top rookie on the league-leading Lynx, while Caitlin Clark trails far behind. A late injury to Wilson, a historic carry from Miles on a championship Minnesota team, or an unexpected surge from another candidate remain the primary paths that could shift the outcome before season's end.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,037
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 86%, followed by "Olivia Miles" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $199K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Miles" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.