Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship with 224–242 points after 11–12 rounds, a margin of roughly 50 points over Lewis Hamilton and George Russell, reflecting Mercedes’ superior car under the new regulations and the Italian’s six-plus wins, multiple poles, and strong consistency in his sophomore season. Recent results, including Russell’s Dutch GP sprint victory and qualifying edge plus Lando Norris’s Hungarian GP win, have trimmed the gap slightly but not altered the standings hierarchy. Rivals trail due to fewer victories, reliability setbacks for Antonelli’s Mercedes teammates, and Ferrari/McLaren form that has yet to close the deficit meaningfully. Trader consensus prices these outcomes as implied probabilities based on Antonelli’s established pace advantage and the remaining calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 75.1%
Lando Norris 8.8%
George Russell 7%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
$201,435,104 Vol.
$201,435,104 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lando Norris
9%
George Russell
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 75.1%
Lando Norris 8.8%
George Russell 7%
Lewis Hamilton 6.0%
$201,435,104 Vol.
$201,435,104 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lando Norris
9%
George Russell
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship with 224–242 points after 11–12 rounds, a margin of roughly 50 points over Lewis Hamilton and George Russell, reflecting Mercedes’ superior car under the new regulations and the Italian’s six-plus wins, multiple poles, and strong consistency in his sophomore season. Recent results, including Russell’s Dutch GP sprint victory and qualifying edge plus Lando Norris’s Hungarian GP win, have trimmed the gap slightly but not altered the standings hierarchy. Rivals trail due to fewer victories, reliability setbacks for Antonelli’s Mercedes teammates, and Ferrari/McLaren form that has yet to close the deficit meaningfully. Trader consensus prices these outcomes as implied probabilities based on Antonelli’s established pace advantage and the remaining calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions