Skip to main content
icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 34%

Alexander Zverev 19.8%

Novak Djokovic 10.6%

Ben Shelton 7.8%

Polymarket

$9,978,431 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 34%

Alexander Zverev 19.8%

Novak Djokovic 10.6%

Ben Shelton 7.8%

Polymarket

$9,978,431 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$662,553 Vol.

34%

Alexander Zverev

$376,477 Vol.

20%

Novak Djokovic

$674,978 Vol.

11%

Ben Shelton

$356,121 Vol.

8%

Arthur Fils

$413,861 Vol.

6%

Taylor Fritz

$339,847 Vol.

5%

Daniil Medvedev

$358,571 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$391,451 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$772,705 Vol.

2%

Frances Tiafoe

$335,717 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$384,664 Vol.

2%

Flavio Cobolli

$320,834 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$482,455 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$323,983 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$527,745 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$365,220 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$512,356 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$908,825 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$381,876 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$388,434 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$182,794 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a knee injury has elevated Carlos Alcaraz to the top spot in the 2026 US Open field at an implied 33.5% probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of the Spaniard’s hard-court pedigree and recent training progress after a four-month wrist absence. Alexander Zverev sits second at 19.8%, bolstered by his recent French Open breakthrough and consistent form entering the hard-court swing. Novak Djokovic holds third at 10.6% on the strength of his experience and multiple US Open titles, while younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Arthur Fils trail further back amid a depleted draw. These probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds incorporating confirmed roster changes, recent Grand Slam results, and injury timelines ahead of the late-August start.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,978,431
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a knee injury has elevated Carlos Alcaraz to the top spot in the 2026 US Open field at an implied 33.5% probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of the Spaniard’s hard-court pedigree and recent training progress after a four-month wrist absence. Alexander Zverev sits second at 19.8%, bolstered by his recent French Open breakthrough and consistent form entering the hard-court swing. Novak Djokovic holds third at 10.6% on the strength of his experience and multiple US Open titles, while younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Arthur Fils trail further back amid a depleted draw. These probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds incorporating confirmed roster changes, recent Grand Slam results, and injury timelines ahead of the late-August start.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,978,431
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

23%
icon for Will Arthur Fils Win the Cincinnati Open?

Will Arthur Fils Win the Cincinnati Open?

64%
icon for Will Ben Stiller attend the US Open Finals?

Will Ben Stiller attend the US Open Finals?

78%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 34%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.