Skip to main content
icon for Cincinnati Open: Winner

Cincinnati Open: Winner

icon for Cincinnati Open: Winner

Cincinnati Open: Winner

Polymarket

$157,883 Vol.

Polymarket

$157,883 Vol.

Arthur Fils

$15,169 Vol.

65%

Frances Tiafoe

$6,811 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arthur Fils leads the Cincinnati Open winner market at 64.1% implied probability ahead of his ATP Masters 1000 final against Frances Tiafoe (33.4%). The 22-year-old Frenchman advanced with a straight-sets semifinal win over seventh seed Flavio Cobolli, extending strong hard-court form that includes a Barcelona title and consistent deep runs. Tiafoe reached his second Cincinnati final after a recovery from hand surgery and victories over strong opponents including Brandon Nakashima, benefiting from home support and recent match volume. Fils holds a 1-0 head-to-head edge from their 2025 Miami meeting and superior final record. Other listed outcomes reflect broader field pricing in a match that guarantees a first-time champion on outdoor hard courts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,883
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arthur Fils leads the Cincinnati Open winner market at 64.1% implied probability ahead of his ATP Masters 1000 final against Frances Tiafoe (33.4%). The 22-year-old Frenchman advanced with a straight-sets semifinal win over seventh seed Flavio Cobolli, extending strong hard-court form that includes a Barcelona title and consistent deep runs. Tiafoe reached his second Cincinnati final after a recovery from hand surgery and victories over strong opponents including Brandon Nakashima, benefiting from home support and recent match volume. Fils holds a 1-0 head-to-head edge from their 2025 Miami meeting and superior final record. Other listed outcomes reflect broader field pricing in a match that guarantees a first-time champion on outdoor hard courts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,883
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Cincinnati Open: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 78+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arthur Fils" at 65%, followed by "Frances Tiafoe" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Cincinnati Open: Winner" has generated $157.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Cincinnati Open: Winner," browse the 78+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cincinnati Open: Winner" is "Arthur Fils" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frances Tiafoe" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cincinnati Open: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.