Carlos Alcaraz confirmed on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 US Open, returning from a four-month right wrist injury absence that forced withdrawals from the French Open, Wimbledon, and North American hard-court events. The seven-time Grand Slam champion and defending titleholder posted training updates and a clear “Here we go” announcement, signaling full fitness for the August 30–September 13 hard-court major in New York. This direct player confirmation and recent on-court preparation underpin the overwhelming 98.4% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. Realistic variables that could still shift the result include a sudden injury recurrence or late withdrawal before the draw is finalized, though official statements and current form point strongly toward participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated98% chance
$37,781 Vol.
$37,781 Vol.
98% chance
$37,781 Vol.
$37,781 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz confirmed on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 US Open, returning from a four-month right wrist injury absence that forced withdrawals from the French Open, Wimbledon, and North American hard-court events. The seven-time Grand Slam champion and defending titleholder posted training updates and a clear “Here we go” announcement, signaling full fitness for the August 30–September 13 hard-court major in New York. This direct player confirmation and recent on-court preparation underpin the overwhelming 98.4% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. Realistic variables that could still shift the result include a sudden injury recurrence or late withdrawal before the draw is finalized, though official statements and current form point strongly toward participation.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,781Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz confirmed on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 US Open, returning from a four-month right wrist injury absence that forced withdrawals from the French Open, Wimbledon, and North American hard-court events. The seven-time Grand Slam champion and defending titleholder posted training updates and a clear “Here we go” announcement, signaling full fitness for the August 30–September 13 hard-court major in New York. This direct player confirmation and recent on-court preparation underpin the overwhelming 98.4% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. Realistic variables that could still shift the result include a sudden injury recurrence or late withdrawal before the draw is finalized, though official statements and current form point strongly toward participation.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,781Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz confirmed on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 US Open, returning from a four-month right wrist injury absence that forced withdrawals from the French Open, Wimbledon, and North American hard-court events. The seven-time Grand Slam champion and defending titleholder posted training updates and a clear “Here we go” announcement, signaling full fitness for the August 30–September 13 hard-court major in New York. This direct player confirmation and recent on-court preparation underpin the overwhelming 98.4% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. Realistic variables that could still shift the result include a sudden injury recurrence or late withdrawal before the draw is finalized, though official statements and current form point strongly toward participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions