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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 34%

Alexander Zverev 19.7%

Novak Djokovic 10.3%

Ben Shelton 7.8%

Polymarket

$9,988,824 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 34%

Alexander Zverev 19.7%

Novak Djokovic 10.3%

Ben Shelton 7.8%

Polymarket

$9,988,824 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$662,553 Vol.

34%

Alexander Zverev

$376,502 Vol.

20%

Novak Djokovic

$676,096 Vol.

10%

Ben Shelton

$356,346 Vol.

8%

Arthur Fils

$413,861 Vol.

6%

Taylor Fritz

$339,847 Vol.

5%

Daniil Medvedev

$358,571 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$391,467 Vol.

2%

Frances Tiafoe

$335,717 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$772,705 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$384,664 Vol.

2%

Flavio Cobolli

$320,834 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$484,457 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$323,983 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$527,745 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$365,220 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$512,356 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$388,876 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$908,826 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$388,434 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$182,794 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 33.5% after confirming his return from a four-month right-wrist injury layoff, while world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a right-knee issue.** The defending champion’s proven hard-court pedigree—including the 2025 title—and favorable seeding (projected No. 2) sustain his position despite zero competitive matches since April. Alexander Zverev sits at 19.7% as the top seed and recent French Open champion, buoyed by consistent Slam results but tempered by recent hard-court inconsistencies. Novak Djokovic at 10.3% benefits from an eased path and motivation for a 25th major at age 39. Rising Americans Ben Shelton (7.8%) and Taylor Fritz (5.5%), plus Arthur Fils (5.9%), gain from the altered bracket, though the field remains open given Alcaraz’s rust and the depth of contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,988,824
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 33.5% after confirming his return from a four-month right-wrist injury layoff, while world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a right-knee issue.** The defending champion’s proven hard-court pedigree—including the 2025 title—and favorable seeding (projected No. 2) sustain his position despite zero competitive matches since April. Alexander Zverev sits at 19.7% as the top seed and recent French Open champion, buoyed by consistent Slam results but tempered by recent hard-court inconsistencies. Novak Djokovic at 10.3% benefits from an eased path and motivation for a 25th major at age 39. Rising Americans Ben Shelton (7.8%) and Taylor Fritz (5.5%), plus Arthur Fils (5.9%), gain from the altered bracket, though the field remains open given Alcaraz’s rust and the depth of contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,988,824
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 34%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.