Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear FedEx Cup leader and world No. 1 for the fifth straight year, with strong recent form including a St. Jude victory offset only by illness at the BMW Championship. Rory McIlroy’s two prior wins at the venue and consistent contention bolster his positioning among traders, while Wyndham Clark’s BMW title and Sam Burns’ late-season top finishes add momentum for top-5 contention. Defending champion Tommy Fleetwood and players like Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Young, Collin Morikawa, and Ludvig Åberg round out the group with proven scoring ability on the par-70 layout. The 30-player field starts even, emphasizing four-round consistency over starting advantages, with recent playoff results and course history shaping consensus probabilities for strong finishes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler
45%
Rory McIlroy
34%
Xander Schauffele
30%
Ludvig Aberg
29%
Matt Fitzpatrick
29%
Cameron Young
29%
Sam Burns
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Tommy Fleetwood
27%
Collin Morikawa
27%
Si Woo Kim
26%
Chris Gotterup
26%
Russell Henley
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Hideki Matsuyama
25%
J.J. Spaun
23%
Ryan Gerard
22%
Adam Scott
22%
Jacob Bridgeman
22%
Tom Kim
22%
Alex Smalley
21%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Kristoffer Reitan
21%
Justin Rose
21%
Alex Fitzpatrick
20%
Ryan Fox
20%
Akshay Bhatia
20%
Bud Cauley
10%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
$45 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Rory McIlroy
34%
Xander Schauffele
30%
Ludvig Aberg
29%
Matt Fitzpatrick
29%
Cameron Young
29%
Sam Burns
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Tommy Fleetwood
27%
Collin Morikawa
27%
Si Woo Kim
26%
Chris Gotterup
26%
Russell Henley
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Hideki Matsuyama
25%
J.J. Spaun
23%
Ryan Gerard
22%
Adam Scott
22%
Jacob Bridgeman
22%
Tom Kim
22%
Alex Smalley
21%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Kristoffer Reitan
21%
Justin Rose
21%
Alex Fitzpatrick
20%
Ryan Fox
20%
Akshay Bhatia
20%
Bud Cauley
10%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear FedEx Cup leader and world No. 1 for the fifth straight year, with strong recent form including a St. Jude victory offset only by illness at the BMW Championship. Rory McIlroy’s two prior wins at the venue and consistent contention bolster his positioning among traders, while Wyndham Clark’s BMW title and Sam Burns’ late-season top finishes add momentum for top-5 contention. Defending champion Tommy Fleetwood and players like Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Young, Collin Morikawa, and Ludvig Åberg round out the group with proven scoring ability on the par-70 layout. The 30-player field starts even, emphasizing four-round consistency over starting advantages, with recent playoff results and course history shaping consensus probabilities for strong finishes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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