Apple shares trade near $309–310 following a 15% rally since late June that added roughly $600 billion in market value, fueled by investor rotation away from AI-heavy names amid doubts over returns on data-center spending. Fiscal third-quarter results beat estimates with 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth, though September-quarter guidance of 9–11% revenue growth and lower gross margins signals deceleration after tariff benefits fade. The stock’s 33–34x forward earnings multiple and recent analyst downgrades highlight valuation sensitivity, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of the typical October earnings release. Market-implied odds for closing levels on August 25 will reflect overnight equity futures and sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 25, 2026
$300
97%
$305
87%
$310
71%
$315
31%
$320
16%
$0.00 Vol.
$300
$0 Vol.
97%
$305
$0 Vol.
87%
$310
$0 Vol.
71%
$315
$0 Vol.
31%
$320
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.Apple shares trade near $309–310 following a 15% rally since late June that added roughly $600 billion in market value, fueled by investor rotation away from AI-heavy names amid doubts over returns on data-center spending. Fiscal third-quarter results beat estimates with 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth, though September-quarter guidance of 9–11% revenue growth and lower gross margins signals deceleration after tariff benefits fade. The stock’s 33–34x forward earnings multiple and recent analyst downgrades highlight valuation sensitivity, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of the typical October earnings release. Market-implied odds for closing levels on August 25 will reflect overnight equity futures and sector rotation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:13 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.Apple shares trade near $309–310 following a 15% rally since late June that added roughly $600 billion in market value, fueled by investor rotation away from AI-heavy names amid doubts over returns on data-center spending. Fiscal third-quarter results beat estimates with 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth, though September-quarter guidance of 9–11% revenue growth and lower gross margins signals deceleration after tariff benefits fade. The stock’s 33–34x forward earnings multiple and recent analyst downgrades highlight valuation sensitivity, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of the typical October earnings release. Market-implied odds for closing levels on August 25 will reflect overnight equity futures and sector rotation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple shares trade near $309–310 following a 15% rally since late June that added roughly $600 billion in market value, fueled by investor rotation away from AI-heavy names amid doubts over returns on data-center spending. Fiscal third-quarter results beat estimates with 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth, though September-quarter guidance of 9–11% revenue growth and lower gross margins signals deceleration after tariff benefits fade. The stock’s 33–34x forward earnings multiple and recent analyst downgrades highlight valuation sensitivity, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of the typical October earnings release. Market-implied odds for closing levels on August 25 will reflect overnight equity futures and sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions