Recent Bank of Israel data show annual inflation at 1.5% in July, below the 2% midpoint of the 1-3% target range, alongside a strong shekel that has curbed imported price pressures. The Monetary Committee delivered a third consecutive 25-basis-point cut on September 1 to 3.25%, citing subdued price trends and the need to support domestic activity amid only partial postwar recovery. Officials emphasized data dependence, noting that inflation expectations remain anchored near target while geopolitical risks and fiscal pressures ahead of late-October elections warrant caution. Traders therefore assign an 78% probability to no change at the October 21 decision, viewing the recent easing as sufficient for now and expecting only limited scope for further reduction unless incoming CPI and exchange-rate readings turn materially softer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 81%
Decrease 14%
Increase 4.5%
Decrease
14%
No Change
81%
Increase
5%
No Change 81%
Decrease 14%
Increase 4.5%
Decrease
14%
No Change
81%
Increase
5%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its October 21, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2026/
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their October 21, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its October 21, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2026/
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their October 21, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Israel data show annual inflation at 1.5% in July, below the 2% midpoint of the 1-3% target range, alongside a strong shekel that has curbed imported price pressures. The Monetary Committee delivered a third consecutive 25-basis-point cut on September 1 to 3.25%, citing subdued price trends and the need to support domestic activity amid only partial postwar recovery. Officials emphasized data dependence, noting that inflation expectations remain anchored near target while geopolitical risks and fiscal pressures ahead of late-October elections warrant caution. Traders therefore assign an 78% probability to no change at the October 21 decision, viewing the recent easing as sufficient for now and expecting only limited scope for further reduction unless incoming CPI and exchange-rate readings turn materially softer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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