Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 26, driven by its record 22-week reign atop the chart through mid-September 2026. The straight-ahead country single has maintained dominant U.S. streaming around 24 million weekly and robust radio airplay impressions near 57 million, outpacing all competition since its February ascent and setting non-holiday longevity marks ahead of “Old Town Road” and “A Bar Song (Tipsy).” Its crossover momentum from country radio, consistent sales, and lack of a stronger challenger in the tracking window reinforce the frontrunner status. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a major release such as a Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande track posting outsized first-week numbers capable of closing the multi-metric gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 26
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 26
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 98.8%
Boston - Stella Lefty 1.1%
Be Her - Ella Langley 1.1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
99%
Boston - Stella Lefty
1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 98.8%
Boston - Stella Lefty 1.1%
Be Her - Ella Langley 1.1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$2,759 Vol.
99%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$32 Vol.
1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$332 Vol.
1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$332 Vol.
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$32 Vol.
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$332 Vol.
1%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 26, driven by its record 22-week reign atop the chart through mid-September 2026. The straight-ahead country single has maintained dominant U.S. streaming around 24 million weekly and robust radio airplay impressions near 57 million, outpacing all competition since its February ascent and setting non-holiday longevity marks ahead of “Old Town Road” and “A Bar Song (Tipsy).” Its crossover momentum from country radio, consistent sales, and lack of a stronger challenger in the tracking window reinforce the frontrunner status. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a major release such as a Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande track posting outsized first-week numbers capable of closing the multi-metric gap.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,820End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 26, driven by its record 22-week reign atop the chart through mid-September 2026. The straight-ahead country single has maintained dominant U.S. streaming around 24 million weekly and robust radio airplay impressions near 57 million, outpacing all competition since its February ascent and setting non-holiday longevity marks ahead of “Old Town Road” and “A Bar Song (Tipsy).” Its crossover momentum from country radio, consistent sales, and lack of a stronger challenger in the tracking window reinforce the frontrunner status. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a major release such as a Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande track posting outsized first-week numbers capable of closing the multi-metric gap.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$3,820End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 26, driven by its record 22-week reign atop the chart through mid-September 2026. The straight-ahead country single has maintained dominant U.S. streaming around 24 million weekly and robust radio airplay impressions near 57 million, outpacing all competition since its February ascent and setting non-holiday longevity marks ahead of “Old Town Road” and “A Bar Song (Tipsy).” Its crossover momentum from country radio, consistent sales, and lack of a stronger challenger in the tracking window reinforce the frontrunner status. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a major release such as a Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande track posting outsized first-week numbers capable of closing the multi-metric gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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