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icon for Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Oct 1

Nov 1

1400+ 25%

<200 10%

720-759 7%

760-799 7%

Polymarket
NEW

1400+ 25%

<200 10%

720-759 7%

760-799 7%

Polymarket
NEW

<200

$0 Vol.

10%

200-239

$0 Vol.

6%

240-279

$0 Vol.

6%

280-319

$0 Vol.

6%

320-359

$0 Vol.

6%

360-399

$0 Vol.

6%

400-439

$0 Vol.

6%

440-479

$0 Vol.

6%

480-519

$0 Vol.

6%

520-559

$0 Vol.

6%

560-599

$0 Vol.

6%

600-639

$0 Vol.

6%

640-679

$0 Vol.

6%

680-719

$0 Vol.

6%

720-759

$0 Vol.

7%

760-799

$0 Vol.

7%

800-839

$0 Vol.

7%

840-879

$0 Vol.

7%

880-919

$0 Vol.

7%

920-959

$0 Vol.

7%

960-999

$0 Vol.

6%

1000-1039

$0 Vol.

6%

1040-1079

$0 Vol.

6%

1080-1119

$0 Vol.

6%

1120-1159

$0 Vol.

6%

1160-1199

$0 Vol.

6%

1200-1239

$0 Vol.

6%

1240-1279

$0 Vol.

6%

1280-1319

$0 Vol.

6%

1320-1359

$0 Vol.

6%

1360-1399

$0 Vol.

6%

1400+

$0 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s early September 2026 posting pace, marked by settled weekly totals ranging from under 40 to the 220-239 band, has left the full-month bins tightly clustered near 50% implied probability because no single trajectory has yet pulled ahead. August’s 880-919 resolution demonstrated sustained high-volume days tied to company news and platform commentary, yet the first week of September showed more variable daily output without a dominant catalyst. Traders are therefore weighting historical monthly volatility—driven by product announcements, political developments, and X engagement—against the remaining three weeks, where an uptick in Tesla or SpaceX activity or a major controversy could push totals toward the 600-719 or 880+ ranges while quieter periods would favor the lower 360-479 brackets. Upcoming chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads remain the clearest swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s early September 2026 posting pace, marked by settled weekly totals ranging from under 40 to the 220-239 band, has left the full-month bins tightly clustered near 50% implied probability because no single trajectory has yet pulled ahead. August’s 880-919 resolution demonstrated sustained high-volume days tied to company news and platform commentary, yet the first week of September showed more variable daily output without a dominant catalyst. Traders are therefore weighting historical monthly volatility—driven by product announcements, political developments, and X engagement—against the remaining three weeks, where an uptick in Tesla or SpaceX activity or a major controversy could push totals toward the 600-719 or 880+ ranges while quieter periods would favor the lower 360-479 brackets. Upcoming chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads remain the clearest swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400+" at 25%, followed by "720-759" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?" is "1400+" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "720-759" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.