Polymarket maintains a narrow lead in prediction-market social mindshare at roughly 21.6% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% as of mid-August 2026, per Moni analytics tracking crypto-focused accounts, even as its trading volume has halved since the June World Cup peak while Kalshi’s continues to outpace it significantly. Recent product moves, including the August beta launch of U.S.-regulated parlays (CAOCs) after CFTC self-certification and platform upgrades such as Chainlink TWAP resolution and passkey logins, aim to sustain engagement amid broader volume contraction. Competitive pressure from Kalshi’s higher open interest and parlay-driven growth, combined with lingering regulatory scrutiny and post-hype normalization after 2024–2025 election and sports cycles, shapes trader views on whether Polymarket can defend or extend its attention share through year-end events like midterms or new crypto markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,439 Vol.
90%
9%
85%
12%
80%
45%
75%
76%
$21,439 Vol.
90%
9%
85%
12%
80%
45%
75%
76%
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket maintains a narrow lead in prediction-market social mindshare at roughly 21.6% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% as of mid-August 2026, per Moni analytics tracking crypto-focused accounts, even as its trading volume has halved since the June World Cup peak while Kalshi’s continues to outpace it significantly. Recent product moves, including the August beta launch of U.S.-regulated parlays (CAOCs) after CFTC self-certification and platform upgrades such as Chainlink TWAP resolution and passkey logins, aim to sustain engagement amid broader volume contraction. Competitive pressure from Kalshi’s higher open interest and parlay-driven growth, combined with lingering regulatory scrutiny and post-hype normalization after 2024–2025 election and sports cycles, shapes trader views on whether Polymarket can defend or extend its attention share through year-end events like midterms or new crypto markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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