Israeli forces advanced into southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict with Hezbollah, reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh and surrounding districts by late May after crossing the Litani River. Ground operations and evacuation orders targeted Hezbollah positions in the area, followed by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire in mid-June that prompted partial Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. Airstrikes near Nabatieh and surrounding heights continued into August amid renewed violations and diplomatic talks in Rome. Trader assessments of entry by any deadline hinge on escalation risks, ceasefire enforcement, and Hezbollah responses in the Nabatieh district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
$341,530 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
4%
$341,530 Vol.
August 31
$11,228 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced into southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict with Hezbollah, reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh and surrounding districts by late May after crossing the Litani River. Ground operations and evacuation orders targeted Hezbollah positions in the area, followed by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire in mid-June that prompted partial Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. Airstrikes near Nabatieh and surrounding heights continued into August amid renewed violations and diplomatic talks in Rome. Trader assessments of entry by any deadline hinge on escalation risks, ceasefire enforcement, and Hezbollah responses in the Nabatieh district.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Volume
$341,530End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced into southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict with Hezbollah, reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh and surrounding districts by late May after crossing the Litani River. Ground operations and evacuation orders targeted Hezbollah positions in the area, followed by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire in mid-June that prompted partial Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. Airstrikes near Nabatieh and surrounding heights continued into August amid renewed violations and diplomatic talks in Rome. Trader assessments of entry by any deadline hinge on escalation risks, ceasefire enforcement, and Hezbollah responses in the Nabatieh district.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$341,530End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced into southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict with Hezbollah, reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh and surrounding districts by late May after crossing the Litani River. Ground operations and evacuation orders targeted Hezbollah positions in the area, followed by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire in mid-June that prompted partial Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. Airstrikes near Nabatieh and surrounding heights continued into August amid renewed violations and diplomatic talks in Rome. Trader assessments of entry by any deadline hinge on escalation risks, ceasefire enforcement, and Hezbollah responses in the Nabatieh district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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