Kohl’s (KSS) elevated 88% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates for its August 26 Q2 2026 earnings release stems primarily from the retailer’s consistent outperformance, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 69% and the most recent quarter delivering a 28% beat. Analysts project EPS near $0.55–$0.58 and revenue of roughly $3.32–$3.52 billion, reflecting modest year-over-year pressure from cautious middle-income consumers offset by proprietary-brand momentum, tighter inventory management, SG&A discipline, and digital initiatives including the DoorDash partnership. These factors have supported gross-margin stability and sequential comparable-sales improvement despite a difficult macro backdrop. Traders view the near-term catalyst as likely to extend the pattern, though broader retail spending trends introduce residual uncertainty around the exact magnitude of any beat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated88% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
88% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
As of market creation, Kohls is estimated to release earnings on August 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Kohls's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kohls reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Kohl’s (KSS) elevated 88% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates for its August 26 Q2 2026 earnings release stems primarily from the retailer’s consistent outperformance, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 69% and the most recent quarter delivering a 28% beat. Analysts project EPS near $0.55–$0.58 and revenue of roughly $3.32–$3.52 billion, reflecting modest year-over-year pressure from cautious middle-income consumers offset by proprietary-brand momentum, tighter inventory management, SG&A discipline, and digital initiatives including the DoorDash partnership. These factors have supported gross-margin stability and sequential comparable-sales improvement despite a difficult macro backdrop. Traders view the near-term catalyst as likely to extend the pattern, though broader retail spending trends introduce residual uncertainty around the exact magnitude of any beat.
As of market creation, Kohls is estimated to release earnings on August 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Kohls's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kohls reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Volume
$3,537End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Kohls is estimated to release earnings on August 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Kohls's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kohls reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Kohl’s (KSS) elevated 88% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates for its August 26 Q2 2026 earnings release stems primarily from the retailer’s consistent outperformance, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 69% and the most recent quarter delivering a 28% beat. Analysts project EPS near $0.55–$0.58 and revenue of roughly $3.32–$3.52 billion, reflecting modest year-over-year pressure from cautious middle-income consumers offset by proprietary-brand momentum, tighter inventory management, SG&A discipline, and digital initiatives including the DoorDash partnership. These factors have supported gross-margin stability and sequential comparable-sales improvement despite a difficult macro backdrop. Traders view the near-term catalyst as likely to extend the pattern, though broader retail spending trends introduce residual uncertainty around the exact magnitude of any beat.
As of market creation, Kohls is estimated to release earnings on August 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Kohls's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kohls reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Kohls releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$3,537End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kohl’s (KSS) elevated 88% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates for its August 26 Q2 2026 earnings release stems primarily from the retailer’s consistent outperformance, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 69% and the most recent quarter delivering a 28% beat. Analysts project EPS near $0.55–$0.58 and revenue of roughly $3.32–$3.52 billion, reflecting modest year-over-year pressure from cautious middle-income consumers offset by proprietary-brand momentum, tighter inventory management, SG&A discipline, and digital initiatives including the DoorDash partnership. These factors have supported gross-margin stability and sequential comparable-sales improvement despite a difficult macro backdrop. Traders view the near-term catalyst as likely to extend the pattern, though broader retail spending trends introduce residual uncertainty around the exact magnitude of any beat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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