Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on stream without breaks or restarts. As of early September 2, they advanced past Fortnite (after roughly 34 ranked duos attempts amid stream snipers) into the Warzone segment. Trader consensus favoring the 50-99 death bin reflects the duo’s established Fortnite pedigree, moderate Warzone experience, and expected session length before a win, tempered by fatigue, coordination demands, and elevated deaths from cheaters and snipers. Prior marathons showed variable death rates tied to game difficulty and endurance, while the single-run format and viewer-driven momentum shape current implied probabilities around moderate Warzone totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50-99 54%
100-149 27%
150-199 12%
<50 11%
NEW
$10,538 Vol.
NEW
$10,538 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<50
11%
50-99
54%
100-149
27%
150-199
12%
200-249
2%
250-299
2%
300-349
2%
350-399
2%
400-449
1%
450-499
1%
500+
1%
50-99 54%
100-149 27%
150-199 12%
<50 11%
NEW
$10,538 Vol.
NEW
$10,538 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<50
$6,531 Vol.
11%
50-99
$1,887 Vol.
54%
100-149
$809 Vol.
27%
150-199
$324 Vol.
12%
200-249
$133 Vol.
2%
250-299
$152 Vol.
2%
300-349
$140 Vol.
2%
350-399
$140 Vol.
2%
400-449
$140 Vol.
1%
450-499
$140 Vol.
1%
500+
$140 Vol.
1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on stream without breaks or restarts. As of early September 2, they advanced past Fortnite (after roughly 34 ranked duos attempts amid stream snipers) into the Warzone segment. Trader consensus favoring the 50-99 death bin reflects the duo’s established Fortnite pedigree, moderate Warzone experience, and expected session length before a win, tempered by fatigue, coordination demands, and elevated deaths from cheaters and snipers. Prior marathons showed variable death rates tied to game difficulty and endurance, while the single-run format and viewer-driven momentum shape current implied probabilities around moderate Warzone totals.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Volume
$10,538End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on stream without breaks or restarts. As of early September 2, they advanced past Fortnite (after roughly 34 ranked duos attempts amid stream snipers) into the Warzone segment. Trader consensus favoring the 50-99 death bin reflects the duo’s established Fortnite pedigree, moderate Warzone experience, and expected session length before a win, tempered by fatigue, coordination demands, and elevated deaths from cheaters and snipers. Prior marathons showed variable death rates tied to game difficulty and endurance, while the single-run format and viewer-driven momentum shape current implied probabilities around moderate Warzone totals.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volume
$10,538End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, requiring consecutive completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on stream without breaks or restarts. As of early September 2, they advanced past Fortnite (after roughly 34 ranked duos attempts amid stream snipers) into the Warzone segment. Trader consensus favoring the 50-99 death bin reflects the duo’s established Fortnite pedigree, moderate Warzone experience, and expected session length before a win, tempered by fatigue, coordination demands, and elevated deaths from cheaters and snipers. Prior marathons showed variable death rates tied to game difficulty and endurance, while the single-run format and viewer-driven momentum shape current implied probabilities around moderate Warzone totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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