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Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

New York Mets 37.4%

Baltimore Orioles 37.1%

Chicago White Sox 37.1%

Miami Marlins 36.8%

Polymarket

$1,289,435 Vol.

New York Mets 37.4%

Baltimore Orioles 37.1%

Chicago White Sox 37.1%

Miami Marlins 36.8%

Polymarket

$1,289,435 Vol.

New York Mets

$465,264 Vol.

37%

Baltimore Orioles

$506 Vol.

37%

Chicago White Sox

$492 Vol.

37%

Miami Marlins

$93,161 Vol.

37%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$1,109 Vol.

10%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$331 Vol.

7%

Chicago Cubs

$1,372 Vol.

5%

Detroit Tigers

$152,657 Vol.

7%

Cleveland Guardians

$480 Vol.

4%

Tampa Bay Rays

$1,011 Vol.

3%

New York Yankees

$1,314 Vol.

3%

Philadelphia Phillies

$557,448 Vol.

2%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$3,095 Vol.

1%

Texas Rangers

$1,328 Vol.

1%

Athletics

$1,086 Vol.

<1%

Kansas City Royals

$811 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta Braves

$530 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rockies

$1,311 Vol.

<1%

Houston Astros

$389 Vol.

12%

Washington Nationals

$445 Vol.

<1%

San Diego Padres

$300 Vol.

<1%

Seattle Mariners

$374 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$448 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$473 Vol.

<1%

Toronto Blue Jays

$349 Vol.

6%

Boston Red Sox

$407 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota Twins

$518 Vol.

<1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

<1%

Milwaukee Brewers

$526 Vol.

37%

Cincinnati Reds

$1,513 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched market prices around 50% for several teams underscore how evenly matched MLB clubs remain in 2026 ABS challenge success rates, with overall overturns hovering near 54% leaguewide. Catchers post the strongest results near 58-60%, outpacing hitters and pitchers, while team totals fluctuate with usage volume, count situations, and roster depth in the automated system. Recent data through mid-August show Arizona, Oakland, and a handful of others leading early totals, yet the long regular-season sample and variance in challenge opportunities keep the field tightly grouped without a dominant frontrunner. Traders appear to price in continued parity and the potential for late swings driven by pitching staffs or lineup changes.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,289,435
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched market prices around 50% for several teams underscore how evenly matched MLB clubs remain in 2026 ABS challenge success rates, with overall overturns hovering near 54% leaguewide. Catchers post the strongest results near 58-60%, outpacing hitters and pitchers, while team totals fluctuate with usage volume, count situations, and roster depth in the automated system. Recent data through mid-August show Arizona, Oakland, and a handful of others leading early totals, yet the long regular-season sample and variance in challenge opportunities keep the field tightly grouped without a dominant frontrunner. Traders appear to price in continued parity and the potential for late swings driven by pitching staffs or lineup changes.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,289,435
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati Reds" at 38%, followed by "New York Mets" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Cincinnati Reds" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Mets" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.