Kyle Schwarber holds the 2026 MLB home run lead with 37-38 through late August, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to 30 earlier in the summer. His consistent power production for the Phillies, including a recent solo shot, underpins the 47.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits at 36 for the Astros with elite contact rates and a .320-plus average that keeps his implied probability at 22.7%, while Matt Olson’s 36 for Atlanta and Junior Caminero’s 35 for Tampa Bay sustain their 20% and 12.9% shares. Ben Rice trails at 34 amid Yankees opportunities, with the rest of the field below 10% as the remaining schedule and injury status continue to shape late-season positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyle Schwarber 48%
Yordan Alvarez 22.8%
Matt Olson 19.9%
Junior Caminero 12.9%
$3,142,315 Vol.
$3,142,315 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
48%
Yordan Alvarez
23%
Matt Olson
20%
Junior Caminero
13%
Ben Rice
8%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
James Wood
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 48%
Yordan Alvarez 22.8%
Matt Olson 19.9%
Junior Caminero 12.9%
$3,142,315 Vol.
$3,142,315 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$28,266 Vol.
48%
Yordan Alvarez
$10,748 Vol.
23%
Matt Olson
$2,706 Vol.
20%
Junior Caminero
$3,010 Vol.
13%
Ben Rice
$1,488 Vol.
8%
Munetaka Murakami
$7,826 Vol.
2%
James Wood
$2,554 Vol.
1%
Mike Trout
$1,748,316 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$650 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$606 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$469,800 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$203,669 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$648,231 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$410 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$631 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,488 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$508 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the 2026 MLB home run lead with 37-38 through late August, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to 30 earlier in the summer. His consistent power production for the Phillies, including a recent solo shot, underpins the 47.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits at 36 for the Astros with elite contact rates and a .320-plus average that keeps his implied probability at 22.7%, while Matt Olson’s 36 for Atlanta and Junior Caminero’s 35 for Tampa Bay sustain their 20% and 12.9% shares. Ben Rice trails at 34 amid Yankees opportunities, with the rest of the field below 10% as the remaining schedule and injury status continue to shape late-season positioning.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,142,315End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the 2026 MLB home run lead with 37-38 through late August, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to 30 earlier in the summer. His consistent power production for the Phillies, including a recent solo shot, underpins the 47.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits at 36 for the Astros with elite contact rates and a .320-plus average that keeps his implied probability at 22.7%, while Matt Olson’s 36 for Atlanta and Junior Caminero’s 35 for Tampa Bay sustain their 20% and 12.9% shares. Ben Rice trails at 34 amid Yankees opportunities, with the rest of the field below 10% as the remaining schedule and injury status continue to shape late-season positioning.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,142,315End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds the 2026 MLB home run lead with 37-38 through late August, outpacing the field after becoming the first player to 30 earlier in the summer. His consistent power production for the Phillies, including a recent solo shot, underpins the 47.5% trader consensus. Yordan Alvarez sits at 36 for the Astros with elite contact rates and a .320-plus average that keeps his implied probability at 22.7%, while Matt Olson’s 36 for Atlanta and Junior Caminero’s 35 for Tampa Bay sustain their 20% and 12.9% shares. Ben Rice trails at 34 amid Yankees opportunities, with the rest of the field below 10% as the remaining schedule and injury status continue to shape late-season positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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