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Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Drake Baldwin 2.8%

Ben Rice 2.5%

Aaron Judge 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,681,045 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Drake Baldwin 2.8%

Ben Rice 2.5%

Aaron Judge 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,681,045 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber

$478 Vol.

3%

Drake Baldwin

$977 Vol.

3%

Ben Rice

$599 Vol.

2%

Aaron Judge

$1,190 Vol.

2%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,545 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$4,642 Vol.

2%

José Ramírez

$462 Vol.

2%

Zach Neto

$125 Vol.

1%

José Bell

$398 Vol.

1%

Gunnar Henderson

$797,833 Vol.

1%

Carlos Correa

$136,011 Vol.

1%

Byron Buxton

$425 Vol.

1%

Luke Wood

$406 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodríguez

$63,108 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$474 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$479 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,177 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$442 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$588 Vol.

<1%

Brett Turang

$125 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$496 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$856 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$664,367 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$553 Vol.

<1%

Jose Altuve

$527 Vol.

<1%

Randy Arozarena

$501 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With roughly six weeks remaining in the 2026 regular season, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the MLB runs title, with no player exceeding low-single-digit implied probability. Current pace leaders such as James Wood and Pete Crow-Armstrong sit near or above 90 runs, yet the market spreads volume across established power bats like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez alongside emerging options including Drake Baldwin and Ben Rice. Key differentiators include on-base skills, lineup protection, team run environment, and remaining schedule strength, as high walk rates and extra-base hits compound opportunities in potent offenses. Recent hot streaks or slumps among qualifiers, combined with injury risks and rest days, keep the field wide open and sensitive to incremental gains in plate appearances.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,681,045
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With roughly six weeks remaining in the 2026 regular season, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the MLB runs title, with no player exceeding low-single-digit implied probability. Current pace leaders such as James Wood and Pete Crow-Armstrong sit near or above 90 runs, yet the market spreads volume across established power bats like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez alongside emerging options including Drake Baldwin and Ben Rice. Key differentiators include on-base skills, lineup protection, team run environment, and remaining schedule strength, as high walk rates and extra-base hits compound opportunities in potent offenses. Recent hot streaks or slumps among qualifiers, combined with injury risks and rest days, keep the field wide open and sensitive to incremental gains in plate appearances.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,681,045
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 3%, followed by "Drake Baldwin" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Runs Leader" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: Runs Leader" is "Kyle Schwarber" at just 3%, with "Drake Baldwin" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.